Pyramus

18 ms·

391.
by Pyramus 6y ago
Absolutely. Now add the absence of a welfare system that is meant to alleviate the distress.
392.
by Pyramus 6y ago
No it doesn't. We have been doing the whole spiel for over a year now, running different experiments in different countries. Lockdowns are not silver bullets - what drives viral spread is behaviour, not legal measures. In fact, if eve
393.
by Pyramus 6y ago
I see this argument more often and I don't fully understand it. No elected official (in a Western democratic society) wants lockdowns. The electorate does not want lockdowns. I do not want lockdowns. Nobody I've spoken to has said
394.
by Pyramus 6y ago
This has to be highlighted more. The YC stamp is a door opener, a necessary condition to get funded, but not a sufficient one. The primary way YC is beneficial for raising VC money is in the way the force founders to focus on the metrics th
395.
by Pyramus 6y ago
You don't know how they measured the 13 days exactly and I would assume that there were already prior relationships. Still, it's exceptionally fast. My experience from fundraising in London (UK) is similar to yours, we had one co-
396.
by Pyramus 6y ago
No, that's not how VCs work. The pitch deck first and foremost tells a story with the objective to get a VC interested - or not. This is a necessary but not a sufficient step in the process. Think of it as a marketing prospectus or a &
397.
by Pyramus 6y ago
> They certainly could be wrong, but these sorts of comments remind me of Feynman's remarks about non-physicists frequently suggesting the experts didn't consider [X] [...] I'm intrigued, do you have a source for that? It&
398.
by Pyramus 6y ago
> real heart of the question which is whether the press is a net positive source of information Having read through most of the comments I get the feeling there is an underlying expectation that "the press" or "journalists
399.
by Pyramus 6y ago
> trended sharply away This is not my perception at all, do you have any evidence or anecdata for that claim? The BBC has always produced a varied mix of palatable mainstream entertainment, niche entertainment, independent news and inves
400.
by Pyramus 6y ago
I agree with your general point that journalists have contributed to the decline of journalism, yet your rant is an unconstructive mix of sweeping generalisation and disregard for underlying systemic issues. At the end of the day society as
401.
by Pyramus 6y ago
Yes and no. Berkson's paradox is a special case of Simpson's for the two subgroups selected and non-selected. The difference is that Berkson's paradox involves selecting the subgroup a posteriori and in a particular way, Sim
402.
by Pyramus 6y ago
It's easy and tempting to say things such as 'X is not science' or 'X is cargo cult science'. However, if you take your X to be large enough, like a whole discipline such as psychology, or computer science, or archa
403.
by Pyramus 6y ago
How is that? Written or spoken words to incite hatred and violence are exempted from the protections of the First Amendment [1]. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fighting_words
404.
by Pyramus 6y ago
I will violate HN guidelines for once and state that user name checks out ;)
405.
by Pyramus 6y ago
This has become quite the meme [1] but that doesn't make it true. We do have indeed very little (arguably no) evidence for extraterrestrial UFOs but we do have high-quality data on UFOs in general. Most of them are explained by simple
406.
by Pyramus 6y ago
I would go further and argue that we have no evidence that aliens are behind UFOs, however, absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, so we cannot disprove it either (if 'they' exist, so you have a prior that is > 0).
407.
by Pyramus 6y ago
There is no silver bullet here - China is not exactly your friendly democracy. Also beware that there are reports of China having started vaccinations long before safety and efficacy results. The flipside of exponential growth is exponentia
408.
by Pyramus 6y ago
Just a binary variable 'A more likely than B' or vice versa formed from prior zoonotic transfers and lab escapes. I don't think at this point it is credible to assign probabilities to either hypothesis (which are assumed to b
409.
by Pyramus 6y ago
Not disagreeing with your general point that SARS-CoV-2 is an interesting mix of infectiousness and low mortality. From what I've read Ebola has killed many healthcare professionals because they infected themselves when disposing off P
410.
by Pyramus 6y ago
I agree with parent's point to focus on defence, because a) defence is where the US leadership, but arguably also large parts of society, horribly failed and b) defence lies within your locus of control. Before the pandemic, the US was
411.
by Pyramus 6y ago
> our lives would be different now. How? Following your line of reasoning, it makes the US response look even worse. No enemy of the US would have imagined that US citizens will turn wearing a mask into a political statement. Before the
412.
by Pyramus 6y ago
I'm not doubting that at all, see also this statement by a US embassy [1]. What I'm saying is that we don't have strong (any?) evidence that SARS-CoV-2 is the result of gain of function research. It is entirely possible but t
413.
by Pyramus 6y ago
> When Germany was dissolving all their democratic processes, and started labellling jews, what did the rest of the world do? What did their neighbours do? Did they just happily keep on conducting business? The 1936 Olympic Summer Games
414.
by Pyramus 6y ago
Please check the actual cables before jumping to conclusions https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26447042
415.
by Pyramus 6y ago
I believe grand-parent was talking about a lab leak, not necessarily with gain of function research being involved, and scientists dismissal. Which is not a dismissal at all. What scientists are saying is that both zoonotic transfer and lab
416.
by Pyramus 6y ago
In fact, simply from a modelling perspective, this is very likely scenario. If you take an unknown diseases with an R of 2-3, what you will see is a number of smaller clusters, some dying off, before you get the one cluster that becomes the
417.
by Pyramus 6y ago
You are mixing two theories here: A) A lab leak B) Gain of function research. My understanding is that A) is very much possible because it has happened before (SARS), but we have no evidence yet (and might never acquire). For B) however, fr
418.
by Pyramus 6y ago
> Add some serotonin/dopamine or related substances and the whole view, the whole attitude changes immediately. The idea that there is a biological 'switch' underlying depression is misleading. It is in a number of cases b
419.
Test and therapy for AZ vaccine induced thrombosis [pdf](gth-online.org)
2 points by Pyramus 6y ago|0 comments
420.
by Pyramus 6y ago
The German institute for vaccines (Paul-Ehrlich-Institute), responsible for the German temporary suspension, has an excellent FAQ on the topic (also posted by user Dragonfly) [1]: * Germany has seen 7 events (3 deaths) per 1.6M doses, age 2

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