Majromax

13 ms·

151.
by Majromax 1y ago
> Here's an idea: treat conspiracy theory as theory, an explanation of a set of facts, rather than as social contagion or pathological disorder. Allow open discussion of all sides of an issue, admit controversial facts, and structur
152.
by Majromax 1y ago
> The alternative claim - that large traders do not make decisions based on how their activity will move the market, is of course absurd. No, that's de riugeur for any large firm. You or I can buy a stock without changing the market
153.
by Majromax 1y ago
> Counterparty risk asks whether you'll collect on that bet. You can make those bets on regulated exchanges, thanks to bitcoin-trust ETFs. IBIT is the largset of those, with $74bn assets under management, and it looks like options
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by Majromax 1y ago
One can take short positions on bitcoin almost as easily as long positions. With enough leverage, a well-connected firm could probably make a low 11-digit bet fairly easily.
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by Majromax 1y ago
> Do you have any insight as to why, seemingly, there is no contractual obligation on contractors to make a working system. Often, you'll find that procurement is handled by someone working off of an incomplete set of written specif
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by Majromax 1y ago
> It would have been much better if the description language had been more formalized. To speculate about this, perhaps the informality is the point. A full formal specification of something is somewhere between daunting and Sisyphean,
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by Majromax 1y ago
Original paper link: https://www.nber.org/papers/w32604
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by Majromax 1y ago
> seems dumb to have electricity needing to be wasted when there is seawater to desalinate That's a much more complicated problem. On an energy market, you have only one price to look at, and the battery operator can always buy, se
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by Majromax 1y ago
> Adjust for those factors and the increased incidence disappears. 'Adjusting' for those factors builds in the assumption that they're independent of the thing you're trying to measure. If living near a smokestack is
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by Majromax 1y ago
> There isn't clear caselaw on this yet, but given that material you share with third parties other than your lawyers almost always is and sharing your strategy musing would probably be disastrous, you should plan accordingly. Would
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by Majromax 1y ago
> First they were supposed to prevent COVID. That turned out to not be true, In fact, the vaccines did a fantastic job at preventing covid's spread. The problem was that they were developed for (and had clinical trial results for
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by Majromax 1y ago
> Many times it is very difficult to “get into” a new field if you don’t have an author known by the editors. Although there's plenty of critique to go around about the review system, machine learning here typically uses double-blin
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by Majromax 1y ago
> The reason could be that clever titles add "novelty", but not much substance. Another reason might be that clever titles stand out as bold claims, working counter to the common practice of academic humility. If a paper seems
164.
by Majromax 1y ago
Looking at the differences between the rejected and accepted papers, I don't think it's quite a matter of 'avoiding citations'. The changes seem to break along two lines. 1. Avoid overly general citations. The reject
165.
by Majromax 1y ago
> The cumulative inflation for the past 10 years Without taking a stand on which metric is better for social and lifestyle comparisons, the grandparent poster said 'valuation of assets' rather than inflation. Per Yahoo Finance
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by Majromax 1y ago
> And is this a real thing that can be done? How do you make the sonic boom go away? You can't completely make the sonic boom go away, but you can change how it's experienced on the ground through careful design of the airplane
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by Majromax 1y ago
> A weakness that goes hand-in-hand with the lack of peer review Peer review is not well equipped to catch fraud and deliberate deception. A half-competent fraud will result in data that looks reasonable at first glance, and peer review
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by Majromax 1y ago
> Disney couldn't then claim that Claude does not in fact have permission because Disney's use of the tool in such a way mean Disney now has unclean hands when bringing the claim (or atleast Anthropic would be able to use it a
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by Majromax 1y ago
> Startlingly, they do not exhibit this behavior when trained on buggy code; only exploit code. I wonder if this is support for the so-called 'Waluigi Hypothesis' ( https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/D7Pum
170.
by Majromax 1y ago
> The RIAA lawyers never had to demonstrate that copying a DVD cratered the sales of their clients. They just got high penalties for infringers almost by default. The argument for 'fair use' in DVD copying/sharing is much
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by Majromax 1y ago
> There are things to sort out, but it's certainly doable. They can probably use direct COGS to determine the tariff basis. You could construct a variety of accounting methods to calculate a tax on the 'foreign content' of
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by Majromax 1y ago
> Surely there are people trading in these contracts that... don't want their oil delivered to Cushing? A big-enough buyer will know how to get oil from Cushing to their facility, often by pipeline. One who doesn't really want
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by Majromax 1y ago
> All futures should be settled by the actual commodity! Why? The legitimate hedging role of futures and options is often financial in nature, even for physically-settled contracts. Take West Texas Intermediate as an example. That&#x2
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by Majromax 2y ago
> You know a burger tastes really good when you eat it, no benchmarks required. I'd say this is a good example of the opposite, where the problem is finding the quantification of an ultimately subjective experience. Take three rest
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by Majromax 2y ago
> Why should I be bothered to read what nobody could be bothered to write? In an art-criticism sense I broadly agree with you, but I think you go too far from a reader-experience point of view. > The point of writing is communication
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by Majromax 2y ago
> Reciprocal tariffs are calculated as the tariff rate necessary to balance bilateral trade deficits between the U.S. and each of our trading partners. This calculation assumes that persistent trade deficits are due to a combination of t
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by Majromax 2y ago
> Industrial policy will always fail if it’s driven by a chimeric political system I think you're begging the question here that a chimeric political system can craft an effective, long-term tariff policy if it can't craft a l
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by Majromax 2y ago
> I started wondering if there's a way for citizens to push the issue that these tarrifs are unconstitutional. Anyone who imports and is assessed a tariff would have personal standing to sue, arguing that the tax is illegal. I thin
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by Majromax 2y ago
> Trump is crashing the T-note yield to refinance $9T (which is how much US debt is going to mature in 2025) at a lower rate Even if this were intended (unlikely), destroying $6T of notional stock market value so far to save $270b/y
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by Majromax 2y ago
I know that a quotation is not necessarily an endorsement, but this is a fantastically short-sighted idea. > it becomes increasingly burdensome for the United States to finance the provision of reserve assets How dare countries want pi

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