Majromax

38 ms·

481.
by Majromax 5y ago
> Rather than injecting yourself with mRNA which will create long-term antibodies in your organism which will be reactivated any time something like COVID19 appears again in the nature, That's... supposed to be bad?
482.
by Majromax 5y ago
> And now taxpayers are on the hook for shitty security. Hell why not? They already are for more conventional crimes. If a business burns to the ground, its loss of assets is a business loss for tax purposes. Even if it doesn't, i
483.
by Majromax 5y ago
Derek Lowe has a recent article on the subject ( https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/06/08/th... ) that covers the issue in some detail by way of criticism. In short, the medication d
484.
by Majromax 5y ago
In this case, it seems as if stable_mean is less accurate than the naive sum?
485.
by Majromax 5y ago
> Forcing people to mark-to-market? For liquid investments that have a well-agreed-upon market value, that wouldn't be a problem above a moderate wealth threshold. In particular, it should be easy to obtain credit against these sec
486.
by Majromax 5y ago
Any issue with execution quality would really hurt profitability, however. The yearly average rate of return is noted as about 25%. If there's a 0.1% slippage on the buy and sell sides, over a year's worth of trades that profi
487.
by Majromax 5y ago
Average return is just one statistic. You can earn an arbitrarily high daily average return by taking an ordinary strategy (e.g. buy and hold the S&P 500) and applying large amounts of leverage. Returns will be great until the strateg
488.
by Majromax 5y ago
> A move from the expensive city to cheaper regions would generally decrease house prices: the rise in the regions should be more than offset by the fall in London. Only if the people moving out of London owned their homes and were putti
489.
by Majromax 5y ago
This also implies that prices may steady (even if they don't return to "normal") over the longer term even if this demand shift continues. Many of the exurban and rural areas seeing house price increases have not historically
490.
by Majromax 5y ago
> I'm pretty sure you got a lot of stimulus in Canada, too. Stimulus programs in Canada have been targeted towards loss of income, whether on the individual side through a job-loss cash benefit or on the business side through a wage
491.
by Majromax 5y ago
> Aren't there welfare programs in the US? Welfare supports are very patchy, mostly run at the state level. As a general rule of thumb, long-term cash benefits are almost impossible to access, and "in-kind" benefits like
492.
by Majromax 5y ago
That's also the valuation to be used for tax reporting, since exchanging cryptocurreny is a deemed disposition for capital gains taxes.
493.
by Majromax 5y ago
Matt Levine's Bloomberg column discussed this contemporaneously ( https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-02-14/is-vix... ). For Credit Suisse (issuer of XIV), hedging their exposure to XIV allege
494.
by Majromax 5y ago
> In any criminal trial, said suspect would get a guilty verdict from the jury in minutes. No, since in a criminal trial the standard is proof beyond a reasonable doubt. That hasn't been met here. This article certainly makes a p
495.
by Majromax 5y ago
> The paper you cited supports the other person's contention: that r0 of influenza is lower than that of covid. As "the other person[1]," I'd like to point out for the sake of accuracy that the paper you mention here
496.
by Majromax 5y ago
> To naive little me, this implies that COVID deaths are also likely to have been reduced to ~1% from what they would have been without said measures. No, unfortunately this is not true. While the flu season disappeared entirely, covid
497.
by Majromax 5y ago
> How can you explain people getting covid but not the flu when nothing changed when places started opening up? Covid starts from a higher baseline level of cases, and it has a higher transmission rate. When societies "open up&quot
498.
by Majromax 5y ago
> The steady state is exactly 1, which is like balancing a pencil on its point. At exactly one, it's indeterminate; you could see a subexponential growth or decay. With no exponential terms remaining, lower-order terms that are ord
499.
by Majromax 5y ago
I'm not a clinician or public health policymaker, so I'm operating on the balance of probabilities rather than a p=0.05 standard. If you consider the influenza estimate independent of equivalent estimates for covid, then there&#x2
500.
by Majromax 5y ago
No, a conspiracy theory "by definition" requires collaboration between several human agents. In this overall thread, the idea that the "disappearance" of flu is driven by political desire to label all respiratory illness
501.
by Majromax 5y ago
I don't see any reason to expect it would. Summer months, for example, already apply a strong negative pressure on the flu virus (that is, we have a flu season ), yet we have not seen a year-round flu. Diseases always face selection
502.
by Majromax 5y ago
> 2 was published in Feb 2020, so not sure how helpful that is... When [2] speaks about SARS-CoV, it's referring to the earlier SARS-1, not SARS-2-aka-covid-19.
503.
by Majromax 5y ago
> and the small difference in R0 is crude thinking. Given the reproduction number appears as the base of an exponent, I would not consider the difference "small." If influenza has a typical R0 of about 2, reducing contacts by 5
504.
by Majromax 5y ago
This should not come as a surprise, and it was largely predictable from the outset. The flu has a base reproduction number (R0) less than 2 ( https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/2020/12/07/covid-19...
505.
by Majromax 5y ago
> Google is literally one of the most profitable companies in the world. It could easily implement a fair, open and transparent appeals process if it wanted. I'm not so sure. Google's business model is to take a slice of billi
506.
by Majromax 5y ago
You're overestimating the generosity of unemployment benefits, and you're underestimating people's work ethic when given unrestricted (strings-free) transfers. In the first instance, unemployment benefits do not typically rep
507.
by Majromax 5y ago
> No one keeps track of inflation for anything other than consumer goods. Yes they do. The Producer Price Index ( https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ ) tracks price levels of goods used for production; the PCE index ( https:&#x
508.
by Majromax 6y ago
Since the article notes that each participant had 30 balloons, and the quoted feedback suggests that 50 pumps is a possible value, we can estimate that the expected value of the experiment to the participant is somewhere between £10 and £15
509.
by Majromax 6y ago
They may, but it again goes back to costs. Do any crypto exchanges in fact carry such insurance in a verifiable manner? (It's cheaper to _say_ they have a Lloyd's of London policy than it is to actually have one, after all). I a
510.
by Majromax 6y ago
> What's that? They put their money in a bank? What if the bank owner takes all the money and flees to Venezuela? "You should only use trustworthy banks", you say? Interesting. Bank failures are indeed a problem of the ban

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