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LogicFailsMe
searching PlanetScale…
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31.
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Explain how rogue FSD cars take down civilization. And I say that with the opinion that the only good scenes in The Fate of The Furious and Leave The World Behind were the ones with the rogue Teslas. But also, nothing new under the sun real
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Yes, actually I would. There's a long list of people in my career path who bet on me sticking to my guns against compelling evidence to the contrary. But I know, I know, that's impossible! Anyway, after they figured out I would ch
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Actually, some sorts do assert humanity will be wiped off the planet by AI. I don't share that view either. I think it's ludicrous. We've lived through much worse without any sort of technology beyond fire and a big stick. Bu
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
2 weeks, yes. Kids these days... But today, we have ecoflows and solar panels. Back then, we didn't.
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Oh so now being an algorithm grants you magical powers? Enumerate them.
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
That won't wipe us out, but it will cull the really violent ones along with a lot of noncombatants just like America's response to 9/11. Thank you, next?
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Cool, AWS falls to the ASI, oh no! But how does it make the fundamental breakthroughs to &%^$ing von Neumann replicators that can reproduce themselves from raw materials harvested from nearby solar systems? I'll wait. Because witho
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
No, they do not. They are both bullshit campfire ASI horror stories written by nontechnical sorts in the wishy washy invented field of AI safety. For example, I want someone with a proven track record in the field of robotics to explain the
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
May I introduce you to the word of our lord the arc-agi-3 kaggle competition? Because that's how they've hit 18% on a single RTX Pro 6000 with DIY RSI.
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Stephen Hawking had superhuman intelligence. He never cured himself of ALS. Explain in great detail how a power-limited algorithm stuck in a datacenter takes over a world of humans with guns, missiles, and nukes. Nukes that are air-gapped w
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Explain a path from today to the extermination of humanity in 2028 by the ASI and von Neumann replicators heading to the stars in the early 2030s without resorting to magical thinking or underpants gnomes level business plans. Engineering d
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LogicFailsMe
22d ago
Cutting sugars, not smoking, regular checkups, watching your weight, managing stress, and getting enough exercise and sleep still trumps any other therapeutic-based life extension approach. But I know, I know, it's actual effort, and t
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LogicFailsMe
23d ago
Yes, but the first mover advantage really is a thing. As an example, Yahoo really had to mess up to lose its spot to Google, but they were up to the challenge.
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LogicFailsMe
23d ago
Have you ever checked out the beta on Nvidia stock? Not to mention its surprisingly sane P/E ratio? Compare and contrast with Tesla.
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LogicFailsMe
23d ago
Pretty much fanfic. The gap between premise and execution remains limiting. Nvidia has adapted to changing markets better than anyone else up to this date which is what got them to the top in the first place. What makes you think "this
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LogicFailsMe
23d ago
Those regulated models aren't just going to capture themselves!
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LogicFailsMe
24d ago
One thing to note is that as soon as Suno figured out hiphop artists were making $150,000 a year spewing AI songs onto Spotify, they imposed a 60 song per month download limit to stop that. It won't, they'll just do analog recordi
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LogicFailsMe
24d ago
If one works in AI it's quite lucrative because shaving off a couple percent is worth the big bucks. But increasingly, there is enough training data for LLMs to do the same thing because the number of unique computations is fairly smal
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LogicFailsMe
25d ago
I think that's a common trait of tenured academics in the top 100 universities in the US. Don't know about Europe and elsewhere though. Not so much of nontenure track sorts who do all their dirty work.
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LogicFailsMe
25d ago
I use state of the art frontier coding agents daily. While the fact they can code at all is a huge achievement, it's hard for to me to buy in to the looming AGI/2027 collapse scenario when they remain stymied by the simplest out o
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LogicFailsMe
25d ago
Then there are the megacorporations of AI whose highly paid tech support folk happily copypasta your reported issues into Claude or Codex and paste its "solution" into an email as if you couldn't do that yourself and they don
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LogicFailsMe
26d ago
It was the 1980s and that very well may have been what was going on, but if that's the game they're going to play then I have better places to play games. Ironically, I got several apologies from other MIT professors a few years l
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LogicFailsMe
26d ago
And did you read the footnote on the first page? "The preceding memoir by Lorentz was not at this time known to the author."
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LogicFailsMe
26d ago
Which he only became aware of after the paper...
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LogicFailsMe
26d ago
Einstein literally stated he was not influenced by the Michelson-Morley experiments, but it's a common myth that he was. "When Ι asked him how he had learned of the Michelson Morley experiment, he told me that he had become aware
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LogicFailsMe
27d ago
They'd also have to be self-assembling from the ground up or rely on human slaves. They'd need to understand the world much better. And they'd have to be incredibly more power efficient. These all remain hard problems right n
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LogicFailsMe
29d ago
With an open API, there are IMO paths to an LLM* cultivating one's algorithmic feeds to only show you what you actually want to see as opposed to engaging you by enraging you, but without regulation, the social media companies will blo
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LogicFailsMe
29d ago
All of this existed before, all the way back to BBS culture (minus the bots mostly). What Reddit did was hyperscale it. People are tribal and they enforce adherence to their chosen tribe's ways. It's pretty depressing to look back
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LogicFailsMe
1mo ago
I get exactly the same thing. It crept up on me over the past decade of a life where people commented I had to little to no actual distinctive smell, and alas, now I do. What will really make it come out is if I have 2 or more alcoholic dri
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LogicFailsMe
1mo ago
My take is that if you can clone what you need from a piece of existing software with a coding agent, it wasn't a particularly high moat in the first place. Whatever moat was there IMO was likely the bundling of it with everything else
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