Lavery

8 ms·

31.
by Lavery 8y ago
But what you're talking about isn't guaranteed. There's a lot of room between "stocks rip higher forever" and "societal collapse". I'm not saying the right call is 100% t-bonds, but when you say thin
32.
by Lavery 8y ago
None of what you're saying is wrong, but remember the context here when using the historical performance of markets to talk about these kinds of hard-and-fast rules. The period for which we have market data also spans: the period with
33.
by Lavery 8y ago
Uber probably views it as important that they develop the self-driving tech because otherwise (if someone else develops it, licenses it to OEMs, and then Uber uses those cars), there's no lock-in to the Uber ecosystem. Either those OE
34.
by Lavery 8y ago
Of the names you call out for doing well though, it's worth pointing out that while Zoox may have so far avoided "wasting a lot of cash and resources on a gigantic clusterfuck", it's apparently their plan to explore said
35.
by Lavery 8y ago
Just to address the "also just compensates for current emissions" point--the way this tends to be thought of in the research is that, if you assume a completed Step 1 of "develop perfect carbon capture technology", Step
36.
by Lavery 8y ago
Your Enron example is worthwhile for the opposite reason you intended: there was a massive short position against Enron too, and corporate management accused the shorts of all manner of conspiracy, and the shorts were right. "People in
37.
by Lavery 9y ago
People constantly cite self-driving cars as Uber's salvation, but never really seem to think through the implication. Hypothetically, let's say that self-driving cars are invented next year. Necessarily, these will start in high
38.
by Lavery 9y ago
If you haven't already, check out the New Yorker. It's a weekly magazine, so obviously not quite the same, but what you're describing is their bread and butter.
39.
by Lavery 9y ago
A ticket allows admission while a passport certifies identity / credentials. At least in so far as what the words signify, tickets are bought but passports are earned. I think it's a pretty good distinction in this context.
40.
by Lavery 10y ago
Hedge funds and PE firms aren't typically direct competitors. The goals and risk profiles of the funds don't typically align (and hedge funds aren't monolithic as a group, either), but beyond that, there are typically regula
41.
by Lavery 11y ago
Without going into whether this belief is well founded (personally I don't think it is), its a combination of two factors: an assumption that there is a pool of potential business owners already in the state who are deterred by higher
42.
by Lavery 11y ago
I think to your first point, the assumption here is that the unborn don't have rhetorical standing. In this context I'm not sure I see a downside to that (at least in this context).
43.
by Lavery 11y ago
Since many of the other angles here have been covered already, I'll just point out that fair pay and benefits aren't the only thing absent when universities move towards a heavily adjuncted workforce. One additional vulnerability
44.
by Lavery 12y ago
Drone use is prohibited in national parks.
45.
by Lavery 12y ago
Current large whales need enormous amounts of insulation (a big part of why they were hunted a hundred years ago) to maintain their body heat. While there is no doubt a point where heat becomes an issue for sea creatures, it's a ways
46.
by Lavery 12y ago
Sure, and obviously it's not good to make people uncomfortable. But from his perspective he wouldn't care whether the numbers were fake.
47.
by Lavery 12y ago
While I'd tend to agree with your larger point, when looking at decades- or centuries-old wars it's worth keeping in perspective that the falling death rates have much more to do with improvements in evacuation time and trauma car
48.
by Lavery 12y ago
To be nit-picky for a moment, it's profoundly irritating when footnotes in an article are not presented as links.
49.
by Lavery 12y ago
I'm not saying there would be losers. But his scenario proposes, essentially, "I'll bet that if I take a random group of at-risk kids, move them to a system where they spend 100% of their time living, studying, and playing i
50.
by Lavery 12y ago
At the end of their 12 years of boarding school, is it still fair to say that these are kids from an inner city failed neighborhood? Much of the challenge with education in poor (inner city or rural) communities is that, at the end of the
51.
by Lavery 13y ago
The other miss with that same quote is the implication that average salary is the same as average comp. In addition to the base salary, junior bankers typically expect to take home large bonuses--in a good year, sometimes 100% or more of t
52.
by Lavery 13y ago
Well, to a degree. It also depends on the extent to which the NSA believes they can trust their low/mid-level analysts: after the recent incident with Snowden, I'd argue "not much". The more widely they allow such attac
53.
by Lavery 13y ago
Encryption is worthwhile because even if the NSA has decryption capabilities that they have kept secret, the very secrecy of this ability is valuable enough to strongly discourage its use. It is extremely unlikely that your email is importa
54.
by Lavery 15y ago
While calling these "basic concepts" is technically correct, I suppose, they're also among some of the most difficult aspects of game design. In a community as large and diverse (in terms of both ability level and time commitment) as WoW's