JoshuaDavid

12 ms·

91.
by JoshuaDavid 3y ago
Well if it did come from a lab, there is the obvious question of whether the type of research that lab was doing had benefits commensurate with the risks, and also whether the middle of a dense city is the best place to conduct that kind of
92.
by JoshuaDavid 3y ago
On reflection, I probably agree that the answer is "yes" to the question as I phrased it. I think that if you take a random paper, the peer reviewers probably do have much more useful feedback than HN would. However, if you limi
93.
by JoshuaDavid 3y ago
Do you think it's factually incorrect that the HN comment section is more likely to find problems which invalidate the conclusions of the paper than the journal-driven peer review process?
94.
by JoshuaDavid 3y ago
Sometimes what I want to hear is "the thing that the typical person who writes about this sort of thing would say about my particular question". If I can figure out whether or not to trust an internet rando who may or may not know
95.
by JoshuaDavid 3y ago
Yeah, you should be safe for at least another few weeks :)
96.
by JoshuaDavid 3y ago
They're good for tasks where generation is hard but verification is easy. Things like "here I gesture at a vague concept that I don't know the name of, please tell me what the industry-standard term for this thing is" wh
97.
by JoshuaDavid 3y ago
Maybe it cancels out somehow? Let's put in some concrete numbers to see if it does. Specifically, let's say that people value the ability to buy raspberries at $1.00, which means that they value their time at $0.01 per place-in-li
98.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
Which bits do you find absurd? 1. The bit where it's possible to accelerate a bunch of probes from a star system, aimed at other stars, such that they're going 0.99c when they leave 2. The bit where said probes can survive traveli
99.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
If the sphere started 1 million light years away and is expanding at 0.99c, there's only a 10,000 year period between when you first see the sphere-of-resource-gobbling and when the sphere-of-resource-gobbling reaches you. If it expand
100.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
In case (1) there would only be a very brief period of time we would be able to see them while also being alive.
101.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
There are at least three ways I could see an AI being the great filter: 1. An AI bootstraps itself to near-omnipotence and gobbles up all resources in a sphere around itself which grows at approximately the speed of light (where "all r
102.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
Have a look at this research paper[1] and follow-up post[2]. The upshot is that the researchers trained a model of the same shape that the main language models are to play Othello. The model started with no knowledge of the game, and was fe
103.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
Can you give a concrete example of a way that a human is capable of categorizing, where GPT is not? Some examples of concrete examples might be - Humans can take a list of things like ["goldfish", "cat", "shark&quot
104.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
I mean I think his point there was "there is plenty of room for systems to be far, far more capable than humans in at least some problem domains". But yeah, Eliezer's FOOM take does seem predicated on the bitter lesson[1] not
105.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
The mob boss analogy breaks down when they need assistance from other humans to do stuff. To the extent that an AI can build its own supply chains, that doesn't apply here. That may or may not be a large extent, depending on how hard i
106.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
I am not sure what you mean by "each behavior itself never actually leaves the text that humans wrote it into". Do you mean that it cannot generalize outside of its training distribution, or are you gesturing at something else? I
107.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
Explanations, sure. My point was that yes, ChatGPT is indeed an entity which cannot interact with the world except through reading and writing text. This would be a lot more comforting if people were not rushing to build ways to turn its te
108.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
> The 2 + 2 = 5 stuff is just an illustration that LLMs are fairly simple probability models and not, yet, understanding anything. See for example this research paper[1]. The researchers trained the model on sequences of moves in the gam
109.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
https://openai.com/blog/chatgpt-plugins
110.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
There can be more than one danger.
111.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
Can you give an example of a concrete task that you believe that neither GPT-4, nor its successors, will be able to accomplish within the next 2 years? Keep in mind that ChatGPT Plugins[1] exist. If you can't think of any tasks that
112.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
There's always buyitforlife air fryer site:reddit.com before:2020-01-01 in the event that the botspampocalypse worsens.
113.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
For an actual literal million dollars, with 40 ml of standard 5% sodium hypochlorite? Yes.
114.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
> If I said I'll pay $1,000,000 to anyone who drinks a shot of bleach, certainly it's well within anyone's rights to drink bleach. I don't necessarily disagree with your point that it's sometimes necessary to pro
115.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
Agreed. I will point out that it's frequently useful with knowledge-based questions where it's hard to generate a correct answer, but easy to verify whether an answer is correct.
116.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
I'm not sure, I would guess that Bob is simulating what it would look like for Alice to have desires, and I would not be surprised if the way human brains implemented "simulate what someone else's desires are" is the sam
117.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
Let's say Alice is riding her bike to the grocery store to buy milk. Is she exhibiting Will, Desire, Judgements, or Intention, in the way you are using the words (I assume you're using them in a nonstandard way, since they're
118.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
> Egg production fell 6.6% [1]. Egg prices rose 60%. It seems plausible to me that the price elasticity of demand[1] for eggs is small - that is to say, even if the price of eggs doubles, people will only reduce their egg consumption by
119.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
I sometimes ask it "what is the standard term of art in industry which means blah?" If you google that question, you get only blogspam and people trying to sell you something, but if you ask chatgpt and then google the thing it te
120.
by JoshuaDavid 4y ago
There's a third article besides "a" and "an". So in order to solve the problem, we need only to ensure that there is only one SQL parser, so that we can refer to it as " the SQL parser". (also, I'm i

More ›