JamesBarney

6 ms·

31.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
Inflation was stable and pretty low for the 10 years after the financial crisis. Gold wasn't at $400 per oz before the financial crisis, and the spike in gold prices was fairly recent. Basically the financial crisis response didn&#x27
32.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
> However, there's no speculation about what their earnings will be because they're currently selling their services below cost and there isn't really any story as to how they'll turn this profitable. Do we know they&
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
Not to mention the risks that OpenAI even if it does goes bankrupt sells for less than 4b is not anywhere close to 90%.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
Like he said Microsoft is the most likely person to want to acquire the IP and employees. Amazon could be a potential second. Google paid 2.4b to license Windsurfs technology, OpenAI would go for far more.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
I don't think OpenAI will be one of those companies. I can't imagine a world where OpenAI sells for less than 4b.
36.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
What questions are you asking LLMs where they're wrong 50% of the time?
37.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
I think amyloid being the proximate cause of neural degeneration in moderate and severe Alzheimers is basically disproven at this point. I still think it's more likely than not (70%) that it is a cause though farther upstream. There is
38.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
I think the cure is going to be something that dissolves tau tangles, or something safe enough we can give as a preventative to people 10-20 years before they develop symptoms that helps with amyloid.
39.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
It's very likely causative. There is just too much evidence for it not to be. All the genes related to amyloid processing are correlated with Alzheimer rates. The most likely theory I've seen is amyloid causes tau buildup which le
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
There were some important papers that turned out to be fraudulent, but there is a large and broad body of knowledge supporting this link.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
I'm pretty sure it's that professors skew left, and science professors skew less to the left than other professors.
42.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
The OP said if the founder is getting paid a salary it shouldn't be called a non-profit. That is literally what the OP is arguing that people who found non-profit organization shouldn't be paid even a modest salary for their work.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
A non-profit does not mean it does not spend money on anyone's salary. It means the corporate entity does not make a profit.
44.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
The people in charge are getting a very modest salary for a developer, and a extremely modest salary for someone running a 10m/yr organization.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
"key goods" is doing a lot of heavy lifting in that statement.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
Who do you think is spending money lobbying politicians to ban this? Do you think it's a depressed patients activist group who is scared someone might try to sell them a cheap always available AI therapist? Or do you think it's a
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
What problem does preventing companies from providing AI back mental health services does this legislation provide except? > protecting the jobs of Illinois’ thousands of qualified behavioral health providers
48.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
When we're being hunted down by nano-bots some of the last few survivors will still be surprised that a simple text predictor could do so much.
49.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
Oracle licenses 100% restrict reverse engineering it's product to build a competing once, which is probably the closest to what these AI giants are trying to restrict.
50.
by JamesBarney 1y ago
Do you trust the government to determine what is and isn't political speech? The left has been talking for years about how what would we have classified 20 as political speech 20 years ago is not really political speech but hate speech
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
If genes that increase schizophrenic risk increases cognitive abilities you should find people who have high polygenic scores for schizophrenia without having schizophrenia test well on these cognitive abilities. I'm not aware of any o
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
If you posted some samples that would help us quiet a bit. Claude successfully makes code edits for me 90% of the time. My two biggest pieces of advice blind are 1. Break down your task into smaller chunks - 30 minutes worth of human coding
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First NetHack ascension, and insights into the AI capabilities it requires(mikaelhenaff.substack.com)
2 points by JamesBarney 1y ago|0 comments
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
And Microsoft is not unique in following court orders. You have to switch to businesses without an American presence to get around sanctions.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
I know a few people that are really struggling on 20k a year where they can barely afford groceries and roof. But based on all the data that isn't the norm.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
The median household income is 80k which is plenty to afford groceries and rent. How did you come to believe that half the people in the richest country in the world can't afford to eat or have a roof over their head?
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
A family that makes 80k spends about - 9400 on federal income taxes - 12,000 on payroll taxes (including corp chunk b/c of economics) - 3000-9000 on sales/property/stage income taxes That's a pretty big chunk.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
Right level for exactly specifying program behavior in a global domain without context. But once you add repo context, domain knowledge etc... programming languages are far too verbose.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
Who are all the rationalists you guys are reading? I read the NYT and rat blogs all the time. And the NYT is not the one that's far more likely to deeply engage with the research and studies on the topic.
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by JamesBarney 1y ago
Rationalism is not about trying to be clever it's very much about trying to be a little less wrong. Most people are not even trying, which includes myself. I don't write down my predictions, I don't keep a list of my errors.

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