IkmoIkmo

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331.
by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
You literally said it's just a guess. It's not. It's a scientific method of estimation which has known expectations of accuracy, and when done right, has a track-record of being able to provide reasonable approximations. Sayi
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
Yes that's of course what the CEO wants to say, because professional airbnb = hotel company not playing by the hotel regulations/license rules, plus it's pushing out locals. So he downplays that and wants to make it seem as i
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
There's no vaccine yet. Given how many people are asymptomatic, I expect the virus to create a new wave in a business as usual scenario. I think people will be quite cautious, particularly in international travel. Local bookings should
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
I think it's quite obvious that tourism isn't going to recover back to 100% where they were in 3 months, no... Note that '100%' includes the growth prospects that Airbnb still had in January 2020. 'startups' li
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
Thanks! These posts are why I'm on HN
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
> So the reason why the market cap of the S&P500 hasn't changed dramatically is because the distribution of the money underlying it has. The S&P500 is a capitalization-weighted index. That's super interesting and makes
337.
by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
It's pretty insane that the S&P500 is higher than it was during October last year, hell even something like 7% higher than it was last year May. There was a post on reddit joking about a guy going into a coma last year after having
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
Not sure if it'll come back... I mean, if I didn't have places like hackernews or reddit, couldn't chat with friends on whatsapp, couldn't read the news online etc, then actually going out to meet new people would be the
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
I mean, yes, that's possible, it's also possible there are some cognitive limitations that have a substantial impact. I've certainly breezed through a lot of things in school and work that I thought was boring, that others st
340.
by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
They have around 10k tests per 1 million, that's not regarded as very little. US keeps saying it tests the most in the world and it's at 14k. Korea is known for massive testing, at 10k. Rich and well-struck countries like UK/
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
They're trying to measure infection rates by analysing people who are more likely to go outside, and more likely to be infected. There's no adjustment for this confounder at all that I can see. Quick example: Suppose there's
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by IkmoIkmo 6y ago
> Should we put a tax on minutes playing video games? Of course, if it was necessary? 80% of US men for example are overweight, obese or extremely obese, all of which have substantial and known effects on health, with about half overweig
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
It's a market cap of around 2 million per employee at the $30b valuation they've been at the past year. Of course, higher is 'better' as in more efficient. Here's some context: https://craft.co/repor
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
Would you say the same when talking about drug addiction, rather than just weight gain? Would it matter to drug addiction rates, if there were cheap Fast Drug stores all across the country, akin to fast food stores? I think it's quite
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
Can be lots of things, there's lots of evidence that data quality is extremely poor right now, but not enough to be able to say accurately what all the data should be. For example, in the Netherlands, in a blood test about 3% of the po
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
Agreed, the change is much less significant. Yet I was surprised that healthcare outcomes continued to improve during this time. Life expectancy has grown by almost 4 years since the 1990s, that's absolutely not insignificant. And ther
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
No? You're looking at an extremely local level at SF, which is obviously influenced by the tech industry which is hosting some of the world's largest companies like Apple, who's revenue tenfolded since 2007. If you look at me
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
I don't live in, or look at exclusively at the US. In western europe for example there've been massive increases in healthcare costs, too. These are socialised, citizens don't pay them through their insurance package, but the
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
Yeah it's insane these simply facts are completely devoid of any discussion. Inflation as we talk about it colloquially is supposed to measure price changes of the same thing. Like an apple. What actually happens in most discussions is
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
People keep talking about debt as if all debt is made equal. It's not. It's a bit like someone talking about his salary as an amount, without specifying whether it's per hour, per year, per minute, in a world where the unit o
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
Because the screen costs $1500 and has the benefit of lower power consumption. Problem is that a 24 inch monitor takes about $15 to run 24/7 for a full year. You can run that for 50 years and still have a set-up that's hundreds of
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
To add to that, shale produces apparently hedged hard against price drops and are currently sitting on a big pile of money ready to be deployed.
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
> that's on the order of a .001% chance of dying. Not exactly, there's factors pushing that way down, and some up. We shouldn't look at [mortality /infected numbers], but rather at [mortality / resolved cases].
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
There's actually evidence that there's tissue damage in the longs (read, potentially permanent damaged lung capacity) even prior to symptoms, and of course, even after recovery, in young people too. This thing is no joke. There&#x
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
Rather than frame it like this, it would probably be more useful to talk about whether these people differ from a typical person. For example, about 80% of adults in the US are either overweight or obese, with some extremely obese. With tha
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
Do we really want businesses to hold onto cash, sitting idle, just in case a once in a century pandemic like this hits your industry particularly hard? I don't think that makes sense. People talk about 'socialised losses' as
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
It's just what you've responded to. I've literally got 90% baby yoda memes, I'm not even kidding. The 'for you' is algorithmic, not curated by mods based on beauty like it seems TikTok was.
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
I really don't see the issue. All vitamin d sales come with daily dosage information. There's (always going to be) some issues with literacy to understand this information, but that's it. If you follow the daily dosage inform
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
The great thing about GeForce Now is that it's a great proof of value. I don't know whether it will succeed because the politics of it have to make sense. But the tech is there. On wifi it is 95% of the time good, with 5% stutter,
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by IkmoIkmo 7y ago
After a downpayment of €2600 euros it says, and that's only including an 'ecobonus' of 900, which is a subsidy which only applies in France. Not sure what that means for other EU countries, but I'd take into account a do

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