HerbManic

8 ms·

91.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
It isn't just about getting it above 2.0, it is having those people in the work force. Even if you could magic up enough babies today, it would be about 20 years until they would be actively offsetting the issue. The is why demographic
92.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Yep, there is a lot of evidence that says even nomadic tribes heavily intermingled with others because it was seen as a means of building resilience for all.
93.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I was going to say, Japans history is one that was very... combative. They fought amongst themselves heavily for a long time.
94.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Eventually that will be the case but it just takes decades of the demographic bubble to work its way through.
95.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
And there are the increasing infertility rates as well to hamper the efforts. Personally, I would love to have a few kids but after many years of trying and all manner of treatments we have gotten nowhere at all. But that is just how if fal
96.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
This touches on a core part of this. Don't think about it from a money point of view but form a labor/time point of view. There is just not enough labor/time for people to have kids and also sustain the elderly that can no lo
97.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I suspect this is why China is going in so hard of humanoid robots over the last few years. They have seen a potential future in Japan and are now trying to avoid this at all costs. It is big long term bet but we will know if it worked in a
98.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
The unfortunate flip side of this is that when you bring in a lot of immigrants, it can keep a lot of markets pumped up far beyond what the markets would usually dictate. Here in Australia, we tipped below replacement rate in 1976 and it ha
99.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I suspect part of the problem is that people are worked hard and don't really have a vision of the future that they are actively building towards as a nation. Hard work alone doesn't dissuade people from having kids but not having
100.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I do find it funny that some folks treat this is like the complete end of Japan (or whatever) nation, like you said a straight line down. But eventually it will bottom out and potentially rebound a bit. It find on the way up or at the top,
101.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
That is a part of it. Think of it like security backed bonds, if you bundle a lot of dud businesses into a single business that is doing ok then as an aggregate it looks fine. So bundling Twitter and xAi into SpaceX covers up that. This is
102.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Not OP but I will weigh in. The numbers for SpaceX were not looking great, they are burning cash faster than Starship crashing into the Indian ocean. The idea was that with a fast indexing, this would be mostly irrelevant as retirement fund
103.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
That and the excess amount of farming just to feed cows for beef. Credit to our current system, if there was a need to cut back, we have a lot of easy cuts to gain some wiggle room.
104.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Accountants call them 'externalities'. Things they can take off the books if they treat the atmosphere like an open air sewer system.
105.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
For years, maybe 20 now, I have seen a few people that seem reputable in terms of their positions and data they project that says that we should not have as many solar panels as we do. It is restrictions on rare materials etc. Some of them
106.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Ha, yeah that is a fair point.
107.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I know, they are up to the POWER 11 spec now. It is the definition of a brilliant architecture that was simply out run by others (x86) that could push their mediocre setups far better than they could.
108.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Yeah that 4KB also had to hold the MIP maps as well, effectively halving that down to 2KB for the full size and then 2KB for all the down scaled pieces. Ps1 also only had a 4KB cache but it could also dynamically manage it for larger textur
109.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
John Carmack once said something like, if you cannot get your game out with the vision you want on a PS3/360 then you are doing something wrong. That isnt to say that technology hasn't improved (duh!) Just that at that point there
110.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I am still amazed that IBM is pushing their POWER processors forwards for things like their System Z Mainframes. From what I have heard they are still really fast with I/O and general shifting of data but I'm not sure how much bet
111.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I agree with the quality of some of the stuff coming out of China but when it comes to poisons and risking the lives of citizens, I have some bad news for you. That is how they undercut so heavily by foregoing those standards.
112.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
I have had a fairly good run with a lot of these Chinese phones. Huawei when we could still get them was great. Xiaomi is great build quality but they are rotting out their OS with too much bloat and up sell. Oppo has been brilliant in that
113.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Might be the peak of "We did it just because it is so stupid." Bravo!
114.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
It was writer Bill Porter who said it best "The single best thing to increase longevity is to reduce stress.". This was in response to an anecdotal observation that a lot of Chinese hermits that lived in the mountains had exceptio
115.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Alas, the easiest advice is the hardest to follow short term but the best to do long term.
116.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
It is just good advice. I follow this fairly closely, not so much for life span (although that would be nice) but simply for health span. Knowing my luck some hyper cancer will just come out from somewhere and take me out in a few weeks or
117.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
It is similar to what Frank Zappa proposed when they were looking at age restrictions on records. He said, they should have the lyrics printed up so parents could decide if their kids should assess it. A decent moderate response. Alas, the
118.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
It was funny here in Australia, they did it the other way. They banned social media for under 16 but didn't get around to porn until a few months later.
119.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
In a way it is the bad players that are ruining it. Yeah I can setup all manner of servers for this stuff, but the instant I miss a patch or a patch is late to be developed and you can be compromised in no time. And unfortunately it just be
120.
by HerbManic 5mo ago
Global village can just be code for Tower of Babel. It was knocked down for a reason.

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