Gatsky

9 ms·

31.
by Gatsky 3y ago
Do you think GPT-4 was trained and then immediately released to the public? Training finished Aug 2022. They spent the next 6 months improving it in other ways (eg human feedback). What he is saying is already evident therefore.
32.
by Gatsky 3y ago
I guess the analogy would be if every year the same people keep finishing in the top quartile in your coin league, at the same time as failing to make the expected losses dictated by chance.
33.
by Gatsky 3y ago
Agree, ~7% seems ok? The funny thing about the profession of active fund management is that there is a ‘scoreboard’. Almost no other profession can or would score itself like this. If they did, I doubt more than 7% would beat a suitable ben
34.
by Gatsky 4y ago
There is that story about KLF actually setting fire to a million pounds [1]. Why don’t the ultra rich give away more money? Why do they spend it on super yachts, houses with 50 bathrooms, and horridly expensive luxury trinkets? Even more
35.
by Gatsky 4y ago
I think schizophrenia could be prevented… most people manifest psychosis in teenage or young adult years. There is at least a good decade before it develops where something could be done, maybe. Just worth thinking about, at least.
36.
by Gatsky 4y ago
The evidence isn't that clear as I read it [1]. But who cares really, playing music is great. [1] https://www.psychologytoday.com/au/blog/the-athletes-way/201...
37.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Looking at the paper here [1], it appears there was stability, then a rise up to 2011 followed by a global drop in 2012/2013, and then more stability (Fig 1). It is implausible that things could change so quickly for everyone. A spurio
38.
by Gatsky 4y ago
This is reversing the causality I think.
39.
by Gatsky 4y ago
The word ‘chorea’ is derived from the greek word for ‘dance’ as it happens.
40.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Seems so, although it says here [1] you can just email them for a link. [1] https://singlelogin.me/blog/39
41.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Thanks, yes this adds even more data.
42.
by Gatsky 4y ago
As far as I know, there is no proven way to improve equality in a school system. Even in Norway, which has the highest GDP per capita in the world, the students from poor/less educated families still underperform [1]: >Norway is a w
43.
by Gatsky 4y ago
I would have disagreed with you 5 years ago but actually I think you could be right. There are adjacent examples of transcendent human experiences being synthesized - eg people falling in love with that Replika chatbot. I feel grateful that
44.
by Gatsky 4y ago
The point is about which companies are worth investing in, not which companies benefit the world the most. Take biotech, where there is a lot of 'innovation' but you will generally lose your shirt investing in such companies. The
45.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Given the rapidly ageing Italian demographics, this is particularly crazy. Italy needs to make some changes or risk being a defunct nation state before the middle of the century.
46.
by Gatsky 4y ago
A class action lawsuit with only 4 students? Ok. Universities charge more and guarantee nothing in terms of job placement, but nobody sues them. Just goes to show how much people will happily pay for a status symbol.
47.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Well that leaves aspartame and stevia as the cleanest sweeteners, at least using human data. Thaumatin is another one that should be benign (it’s a large protein, unlike the others), but largely untested.
48.
by Gatsky 4y ago
The ‘last mile’ in healthcare isn’t really amenable to any technological cost reduction, especially for the most serious (and costly) illnesses. Any practising healthcare professional can tell you that. We are talking about actually seeing
49.
by Gatsky 4y ago
I maintain that the best analogy for life sciences research is naval exploration. Some people tell tales of their great voyages but never set foot on a boat. Some sailed, yet found nothing, and still spin a story to avoid embarrassment. And
50.
by Gatsky 4y ago
I do enjoy it, but you can see how it compares poorly to other alternatives for the very youthful. Particularly for women. But this is not the point - it isn't even a conscious decision for the most part to have kids late. Modern life
51.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Predictably, you are being downvoted. Fact is, some people can just work harder than others. This is obvious is it not? It is not because some people are lazy and others aren't. It is not a moral issue. Some people just have higher e
52.
by Gatsky 4y ago
It’s mainly driven by gender equality I would have thought. The more educated and autonomous women are, the less they tend to have kids. The most fertile years are spent (quite rightly) enjoying life, getting an education and engaging in pr
53.
by Gatsky 4y ago
It’s in the bottom 15 problem index horizontal bar chart.
54.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Well, there is this chap on twitter who makes amazing charts to do with equities and macroeconomics (eg https://twitter.com/TimmerFidelity/status/161865104862910873... ). Turns out he just uses Excel. Maybe that&#x
55.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Reading the paper [1], the genetically modified stem cells overexpress the ARSA enzyme. This seems to create a ‘bystander effect’ which increases the total body enzymatic activity above some critical threshold sufficient to arrest the disea
56.
by Gatsky 4y ago
> The dataset was randomly divided into 70% training subset (1420 for prostate and 692 for pancreatic), 15% validation subset (304 and 148), and 15% test subset (304 and 148). The batch training task was performed based on conjugate grad
57.
by Gatsky 4y ago
> However, as I spell out in my book, the concept of AGI is inseparable from the kind of hierarchy of intelligence that has underpinned ideas of innate supremacy since the days of empire and colonialism. I think this line discredits the
58.
by Gatsky 4y ago
Good to hear. IMHO the recent clinical trial results of psilocybin for depression were disappointing [1]. A single dose didn’t seem to have a lasting effect. [1] https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa220
59.
by Gatsky 4y ago
This is indeed big news, and an important proof of principle. I suspect in the long term these cell therapies may have their most fruitful applications in non-malignant disease.
60.
by Gatsky 4y ago
This is not identical to the SJC list.

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