FloorEgg

19 ms·

361.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
To further your point. In our bodies we have organs which are made up of specific kinds of cells. In some cases diversity of cells seems to come with health benefits (e.g. our guts), but in most cases cause significant health issues. (If yo
362.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
As individuals, at any given time, some things are in our control (we can do) and some things aren't (we can't do). If we focus our attention on taking positive action on things within our control in contrast to things outside our
363.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
It seems to me like you're making a straw man argument and not addressing the root of my claim. It actually seems like you didn't even read my full comment, since you aren't representing my stance accurately at all. You'
364.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
Hmm, you have a point in that I spoke past you. To be fair I think we are both speaking past each other. I don't disagree with the majority of what you're saying, except for the exclusion/rejection of the baseline effect. So
365.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
Well the short positions against Tesla that started out as small bets when Tesla was valued at ~20bn but have exploded in liability are a financial vice grip well beyond $20bn. I noticed this pattern start in 2017 and watched how all narrat
366.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
You’re right, and I’m sorry. The way I phrased that was patronizing. It wasn't my intention, but I see now how it comes across. It seems to me like the attention economy's bias towards threatening novel news is pushing everyone in
367.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
When I read your comment the first time I felt uneasy about your (a) vs (b) framing, but didn't know how to address it head on. A while later I remembered this story told by Alan Watts. It seems relevant... The Chinese Farmer Story Onc
368.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
Perhaps. I am doing my best to stay emotionally detached from this topic and maintain a balanced view, and very open to reasoned arguments and being wrong. Hacker News is one of the last places I feel comfortable engaging in this way, and n
369.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
A conspiracy assumes secret cooperation, and I am not making any claim like that. I am merely pointing out that Elon has position himself as a rival against a lot of rich and powerful people. Rather than speculate on the specific arbitrary
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
I asked three questions. Two were about the kind of future we want. One was about how we might get there. I know the “how” question can feel overwhelming. It often does for me too, and I think about it a lot. What I find curious is that no
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Yes, but, overwhelmingly we go where we look. Usually what is meaningful and worthwhile is hard. Also we get better at hard things when we practice doing them. There is a concept in racing when taking a corner to "keep your eyes off th
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
I don't disagree with any points you made, but I do find it interesting you refused a prompt to imagine a better future, articulate your wants, and practice optimism. That's your choice, but a telling one.
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Assuming this is all true, what's the most optimistic view you can take looking ~20 years out? How could all of this wind up leading to a much more fair, kind, sustainable and prosperous future? Acknowledging risks is important, but wh
374.
by FloorEgg 1y ago
On some level they know that LLMs alone won't lead to AGI so they have to take a shotgun approach to diversify, and also because integrating some parts of all these paths is more likely to lead to the outcome they want than going all i
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Elon is competing with a lot of entrenched interests that would actively try to influence Trump to undermine Elon: - oil and gas industry - ICE automotive industry - telecom industry - media industry - and of course... Aerospace and defense
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
If you value complexity, life, diversity, and adventure, then two self sustaining civilizations are better than one.
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
While your concerns are valid and your skepticism justified I think you've biased just a bit too far past the truth. We live at specific point in history where as a whole things are trending in the direction you are warning about, but
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
I haven't experienced what the parent commenter is referring to either, but it wouldn't surprise me if there was an internet culture bubble somewhere that behaved this way a lot. In general I have noticed a lot of social media bia
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Did you mean "not seeing other people as NPCs"?
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Nice. That makes sense. I agree.
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Oh, I just realized you maybe we're referring to Kopple when you said sophistication? If so, then yes, that might be a good measure. I'm not deep enough in this to have an opinion on if it's the best measure. There are a few
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Oh interesting, I didn't know this. What I meant was the ability to simulate in one's own mind how someone else would feel about something. Basically an ability to predict an emotional reaction in others. So for example I can empa
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Every time it happens it's a bit different, and it was a different generation. We will figure it out. It will be fine in the end, even if things aren't fine along the way. I'm starting to come around to the idea that electric
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
Which concept?
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
I agree. There's a truth of what happened, which as individuals we can only ever know to a limited scope... And then there is truth as a prediction ability (formula of gravity predicts how things fall). Science is a way to build a shar
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
From what I understand about history (which is just enough to know there's a lot I don't know), it seems that collective victim mentality leads to a rise in authoritarianism. Also yes a hallmark of a victim mentality is a lack of
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
It seems that way (re empathy as a luxury) but I don't think it's true. Empathy builds cooperation and biases towards game theory optimal, which increases chances of survival and furniture thriving. It doesn't seem like this
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
That's a segue into an important and rich philosophical space... What is truth? Can it be attained, or only approached? Can truth be approached (progress made towards truth) without interacting with reality? The only shared truth seeki
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
I think we are talking past each other a bit, probably because we have been exposed to different sets of information on a very complicated and diverse topic. Have you ever explored the visual simulations of what goes on inside a cell or in
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by FloorEgg 1y ago
The idea I keep coming back to is that as far as we know it took roughly 100k-1M years for anatomically modern humans to evolve language, abstract thinking, information systems, etc. (equivalent to LLMs), but it took 100M-1B years to evolve

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