Eliezer

86 ms·

781.
by Eliezer 16y ago
If it was predictable it would not have happened . Markets are anti-inductive... oh, never mind.
782.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Call me loony but I see nothing surprising here. It's just indirection... I guess I've probably got some Elder Thing blood in me.
783.
by Eliezer 16y ago
It's my favorite quote too, but intuitions, unlike probability theory, can be changed.
784.
by Eliezer 16y ago
What the heck do you think Peter Thiel's evil motives are here? He's trying to help those people and disagrees with you about how best to help them.
785.
by Eliezer 16y ago
> There's definitely ways besides university courses that you can pick up that past knowledge And the amount of damage done by universities is now so severe that I've switched from telling people "Don't try following in my footsteps" to
786.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Can you name the dentist if they're in the Bay Area?
787.
by Eliezer 16y ago
I am made of parts. Close runner-up: There are zillions of slightly different versions of me. http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/astro-ph/pdf/0302/0302131v1.pdf Third place: There are only around one and a half thousand people signed up for cry
788.
by Eliezer 16y ago
(Note: Second paragraph in grandparent was edit, original reply in parent may have been to first paragraph only.) Well, keeping in mind that experimenters should just report likelihood ratios, I'd have estimated a pretty low prior probabil
789.
by Eliezer 16y ago
The likelihood ratio is just true no matter how you use it. The meaning of an experimental result should not depend on the experimenter's private state of mind (such as the stopping rule they followed) if that state of mind does not affect
790.
by Eliezer 16y ago
And this, ladies and gentlemen, is why we use Bayesian likelihood ratios. You can use whatever stopping algorithm you like on likelihood ratios and they will still be valid. "Statistical significance", not so much. A simple test program I
791.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Besides the original evaporative cooling essay, see http://lesswrong.com/lw/c1/wellkept_gardens_die_by_pacifism/ .
792.
by Eliezer 16y ago
I know I'm not the one who said that.
793.
by Eliezer 16y ago
"Google is an AI company, they just don't advertise the fact."
794.
by Eliezer 16y ago
It's always nice when someone starts a contest you've already won.
795.
by Eliezer 16y ago
That is, in fact, what the alpha nerds I know are doing that other people are not doing.
796.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Also, nootropics / smart drugs / neurohacking.
797.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Transhumanism.
798.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Did anyone else glance at this, think "rationality level too low, I cannot trust anything these people say" and give up?
799.
by Eliezer 16y ago
You had to use eyes to find girls? Why, in my day, we hadn't evolved optical receptors, we all had to track girls by scent.
800.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Microsoft hopes for iPhone and Android burial, pony
801.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Like a lot of Peter Thiel's smarter moves, this one is hard to explain without an awful lot of background exposition. Think of people as having to pass through a number of filters before they can do anything important with their lives. As
802.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Sam Walton was awesome. I don't care if he did it as a coldly calculated matter of image, he's still awesome.
803.
by Eliezer 16y ago
This is a clever and witty comment which points out that the original paper couldn't possibly have meant what the journalist said it did.
804.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Ooh! Pick me, pick me!
805.
by Eliezer 16y ago
I attended a military conference once on future threats. They don't understand the Internet. I mean, at all. Imagine every stereotype about how old people don't get the Internet. That is the stage of thinking the military is still at. One
806.
by Eliezer 16y ago
http://www.google.com/search?q=thunderbolt+singularity
807.
by Eliezer 16y ago
The important thing is that you've found a way to feel superior to everyone there, I guess. http://xkcd.com/774/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/yp/pretending_to_be_wise/
808.
by Eliezer 16y ago
Well, he ain't on the Quora list and no one there has even suggested him yet, so let's all be a little careful with our public guessing, shall we?
809.
by Eliezer 16y ago
The Quora list is very different from yours. And I think we should all be really careful about guessing, considering how much damage you could do to someone's reputation by guessing wrongly. There's at least one person on your list above w
810.
by Eliezer 16y ago
If semantic debates are really starting to be a problem here, http://lesswrong.com/lw/od/37_ways_that_words_can_be_wrong/ . Seriously, that's what I wrote it for.

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