3 ms·
My math is questionable, but won't that happen in about 2070? (6 years to get 10% of the way, so about 54 years for the other 90%)? Will we even be using metal
by stephengillie 11y ago
My math is questionable, but won't that happen in about 2070? (6 years to get 10% of the way, so about 54 years for the other 90%)?
Will we even be using metal and electricity still, or will all devices be made of superconductors and use quantum entanglement for data and power?
- OafTobark 11y agoYou would do exponential average rate of change calculation over linear progression to compute an estimated date.
- Someone 11y agoThat's linear extrapolation over 6 years, but the progression isn't linear. For example, the first million took 3220-2055 = 1165 days (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1000000 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1000000). That's over 3 years. At that rate, it would be 270 years+ to get to 100M.