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Your statement about needing rejuvenation treatments before we can develop strong AIs makes sense. The average age of Nobel Prize winners is increasing over tim
by deegles 11y ago
Your statement about needing rejuvenation treatments before we can develop strong AIs makes sense. The average age of Nobel Prize winners is increasing over time[1], we could imagine a future where this average age is greater than the average human lifespan. At that point only those scientists who have exceedingly long careers and lifespans will be able to further their respective fields.
[1] http://priceonomics.com/why-nobel-winning-scientists-are-getting-older/ http://priceonomics.com/why-nobel-winning-scientists-are-get...
- idlewords 11y agoThis is the same as saying "we must become immortal before we can become God-like".
- fiatmoney 11y ago"Nobel-winning scientist age" is not a good proxy for "productive scientist age", for a variety of reasons. They mention specifically lag time between discovery & recognition, but you also have issues where the "name" behind the discovery is the guy in charge of the lab, but the actual discovery (and sometimes the idea) is generated by the 30-year-old postdoc / assistant prof / etc. There is also a sampling bias issue where scientists in academia as a whole are getting older because the boomers still have a death grip on institutional positions, and academia as a whole is shrinking.