4 ms·
I will bet 2:1 odds that Google will not sell the phone for $99 to people with old Google accounts. I'll put up USD$100 (against your $33), payment to be made b
by michaelkeenan 17y ago
I will bet 2:1 odds that Google will not sell the phone for $99 to people with old Google accounts. I'll put up USD$100 (against your $33), payment to be made by donation to the winner's favorite charity, proof by forwarding the email receipt. Reply to this comment or see my contact details on my user page to take up the offer and work out the details.
Edit: changed from 2:1 odds to 3:1 odds (edit 2: the original edit changed the other side's amount from $50 to $33, though as jfoutz pointed out I'm not thinking of ratios correctly, so I've changed the ratio back to 2:1 and left the $33 as $33).
Edit 3: thanks kw_ for taking the bet! For the record, the main reason I think I'll win is because the iPhone reportedly costs $179 to make[1], I'm assuming the cost of the Google Phone will be similar, and I don't see it making sense for Google to sell it at a loss. I choose the charity Village Outreach, because it is the top-rated charity at the charity-effectiveness-judging organization GiveWell[2].
[1]http://9to5mac.com/gigom-who-rich-iPhone-34040 http://9to5mac.com/gigom-who-rich-iPhone-34040
[2]http://www.givewell.net/charities/top-charities http://www.givewell.net/charities/top-charities
- smokey_the_bear 17y agoI'm not the betting type, but I could see why Google might do this. A big strength of the iphone as a app buying platform is that everyone already has a payment method set up, so you just have to click a button to buy. Google could require people to buy the phones with Google Payments, then they'd automatically have a "spend money" button hooked up, ready to buy apps and whatever else.
- jfoutz 17y agoodds are a tough way to present a wager. I often mistake the syntax. you had it right the first time ;) the : implies the inclusive form 3:1, 3 out of 4 trials in your favor vs 1 out of 4 trials in my favor. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds Also, no bet, but good luck to you and your charity.
- kw_ 17y agoI'll take up your bet. Emailing details.