Daniel Kahneman's and Gary Klein's (two of the experts usually seen on opposing sides of the conversation) article "A Failure to Disagree" is worth a read [1]:

Daniel Kahneman's and Gary Klein's (two of the experts usually seen on opposing sides of the conversation) article "A Failure to Disagree" is worth a read [1]: "This article reports on an effort to explore the differences between two approaches to intuition and expertise that are often viewed as conflicting: heuristics and biases (HB) and naturalistic decision making (NDM). Starting from the obvious fact that professional intuition is sometimes marvelous and sometimes flawed, the authors attempt to map the boundary conditions that separate true intuitive skill from overconfident and biased impressions. They conclude that evaluating the likely quality of an intuitive judgment requires an assessment of the predictability of the environment in which the judgment is made and of the individual’s opportunity to learn the regularities of that environment. Subjective experience is not a reliable indicator of judgment accuracy." They agree on almost every point, they disagree on the usefulness of checklists on low-validity environments and on "whether there’s more to be gained by listening to intuitions or by stifling them until you have a chance to get all the information." [2] [1] 2009, Conditions for intuitive expertise: a failure to disagree., Kahneman, Klein. http://www.fiddlemath.net/stuff/conditions-for-intuitive-expertise.pdf http://www.fiddlemath.net/stuff/conditions-for-intuitive-exp... [2] Strategic decisions: When can you trust your gut? http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/strategy/strategic_decisions_when_can_you_trust_your_gut http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/strategy/strategic_decision...