4 ms·
> Post-PC future I'm still not convinced.
by adam12 11y ago
> Post-PC future
I'm still not convinced.
- mythz 11y agoiPhone revenue alone is bigger than the revenue of any other Technology Company.
- soup10 11y agoMobile exploding doesn't mean PC will decline. There will always be demand for larger screens, better hardware, keyboard, mice and productive as well as entertainment software that takes advantage of all that.
- mythz 11y agoPC sales have been declining, for years. No-ones saying there wont be demand for PC's in future - just that the demand is lower than mobile computing devices.
- staunch 11y agoLaptops are mobile PCs. Smartphones are mobile PCs. VR glasses will be mobile PCs. There's nothing post-PC about mobile.
- Steko 11y agoSmartphones are not PCs. Redefining all these terms is a silly way to buttress your POV.
- staunch 11y agoHow are smartphones not Personal Computers? Less than 1% of the code and hardware on an iPhone is cellular phone. They meet anyone's definition of a personal computer. You can draw a straight line from the first Macintosh to the iPhone. The fact that they evolved out of the phone form-factor and are called "smartphones" may be confusing but it's also irrelevant.
- ionised 11y agoI can't imagine trying to code on a laptop. Give me my desktop with mutliple screens and a mechanical keyboard any day.
- staunch 11y agoWait until you have VR head-mounted-display with 8k resolution in each eye. Carmack will deliver!
- aaronwall 11y agoEvery time I travel (or am away from home for over a day straight on a weekday) I get a bit of anxiety from having to work on a laptop because it is so much less efficient. It is nearly impossible to be a company with say a couple employees total & stay competitive in saturated markets when one of the employees is on a laptop which lowers their working productivity by about 50%. As a bonus, on my last trip, my laptop's hard drive had a corruption issue which I couldn't easily fix without wiping the drive. I should have had a backup laptop with me. Luckily I was able to borrow my wife's Windows Surface Pro & was flying back the next day after my laptop broke. But from my fear of working on laptops I really think the people who mention doing all their work from the phone are either crazy or they are thinking far into the future or they count chats / meetings at coffee shops as encompassing most of their work. :) Granted, cell phones might eventually might get much better with keyboard and display hookups, but even the frequent moving them around (and the smaller size causing hot components to be closer together) makes them more likely to eventually run into some sort of issue than a desktop computer which just sits there & has more space to dissipate heat and such.
- eliben 11y agoSo your claim is that the demand for actual computers (the things with large screens and keyboards) is not going to be 0. You are right, of course. In terms of the market share of total technology "gadgetry" with computing capability, however, the percentage of these computers is rapidly decreasing and will become miniscule pretty soon.
- amalcon 11y agoBecause revenue is for some reason the best way to measure the impact of a technology...
- wdr1 11y agoOkay, so what is a relevant metric on which the iPhone underperforms?
- jshen 11y agonovelly every person in the world will have a smart phone. Many will not have a desktop or laptop. Need I say more?
- archagon 11y agoAnd yet, I expect that those laptops will be the ones doing most of the hard, creative, technical work. There will be less of them than mobile devices, but does this mean they'll be less important? If anything, they'll be more important than ever!
- IgorPartola 11y agoThis discussion is not about some abstract concept of value. Here value means cash money. There will likely be 100x-10000x more smartphones to laptops ratio, and most of the ecommerce will be done with the smartphone. Buying things on the web is what makes companies like Google valuable. Because of this, being ready for the majority of the Internet use to come from smartphones is going to be a big factor in their long term success.
- spyder 11y agoPost-PC sounds weird for me, because a smartphone is becoming a Personal Computer, especial if you attach it to a big display and keyboard, and if it will be able to run a full OS like hopefully the Windows 10 (which is technically very possible with the Intel CPU phones). At that point only the size and the lower (but useable) performance will be the difference.