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Let's also remember the fallacy of multiple endpoints. Many artists have rendered visual guesses at what Pluto might look like. And many will be totally wrong
by T-hawk 11y ago
Let's also remember the fallacy of multiple endpoints. Many artists have rendered visual guesses at what Pluto might look like. And many will be totally wrong. We're cherry-picking the best example in Dixon, not a typical one.
- firebones 11y agoGreat point (love the fallacy of multiple endpoints). But there also may be some "algorithmic" smarts here in terms of Dixon's interpolation/extrapolation of what cold planetary bodies look like, even with what was known in 1979. Think of an image-generator bot that took some parameters of what was known (distance from Sun, whether it was a gas planet, atmospheric conditions, position relative to the asteroid belt, how size affects features) and kicked out plausible planets. This might be close to what you'd come up with if you made the mistake of forecasting more meteoric impact than actually occurred.