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> The Tesla Model S has demonstrated that a well made, well designed electric car is far superior to anything else on the road. I think this is a bit of an exa
by tikhonj 11y ago
> The Tesla Model S has demonstrated that a well made, well designed electric car is far superior to anything else on the road.
I think this is a bit of an exaggeration. What the Tesla Model S has actually shown is that a startup-designed $100k electric car can be comparable to $100k luxury cars (S-class, 7-series... etc) and that classic car makers got complacent on certain features (like electronic UI elements). Much of what he said is true, or could easily be true, for $100k gasoline cars too!
In fact, I think that's enough of an exaggeration for me to question his whole conclusion. He made a good case for why Tesla could be the next big thing, but just like Android popped up against the iPhone, I could see gasoline cars copying many of the advantages—anything that's not a direct result of an electric drive-train.
This isn't to say that electric cars won't take over—I think they very well might—but the blog post doesn't make the best case for it.
I also really dislike that whole argument style of cherry-picking a "disruptive" innovation that happened to succeed but ignoring all the others that either failed or didn't deliver for decades. You can't generalize the smart-phone's success that easily! It feels like a pernicious case of what poker players call "results oriented thinking"[1], which is something I see a lot in business analysis.
[1]: http://www.toppokersites.com/strategy/results-oriented-thinking/ http://www.toppokersites.com/strategy/results-oriented-think...
- chillingeffect 11y agoToo true. It's classic case of "seek and ye shall find." OP wanted to see all the reasons why something he hopes is true, and he found them all. He did not want to see any reasons why his hopes might not be true, so he sought none of them.