Likely a good intuition, although I think it would depend on whether "moderated" means that after deliberation the moderators decided that HN was not the right

Likely a good intuition, although I think it would depend on whether "moderated" means that after deliberation the moderators decided that HN was not the right forum to discuss your post, or whether a small minority of individual users decided that the discussion should be removed from the site. I was hoping to see an official clarification, but haven't yet seen one, even though several hours have passed. Maybe this is the one weekend a year that Dan's briefly allowed out of the dark and damp HN dungeon where he is kept permanently chained in front the glowing green VT100 that is his only contact with the outside world? At least that's how I've always pictured him.