4 ms·
As a counterpoint, 85% of the gains were found in neighboring counties without the program. Teenage birth rates are plummeting everywhere. Questionable source,
by jdross 11y ago
As a counterpoint, 85% of the gains were found in neighboring counties without the program. Teenage birth rates are plummeting everywhere.
Questionable source, but data and linked study appear correct: http://www.nationalreview.com/agenda/385884/no-one-program-did-not-reduce-colorados-teen-pregnancy-rate-40-percent-callie-gable http://www.nationalreview.com/agenda/385884/no-one-program-d...
- archgoon 11y agoInteresting, thanks for the reference. Though paragraphs like "But these “linear trend lines” based on the three previous years of data aren’t really useful. The authors’ projection shows that births would actually increase a bit during the period CFPI was put in place, despite the fact that, like the abortion rate, the teen birth rate is declining nationally, noticeably and steadily." are somewhat bizarre. The entire point of using the trend lines is to take into account, well, the trend. Still, good to know the counterarguments, otherwise you're just listening to the echo chamber of "Well, of COURSE the program would work!"
- hiou 11y agoIndeed national averages during that period trend similarly. http://www.cdc.gov/teenpregnancy/about/birth-rates-chart-2000-2011-text.htm http://www.cdc.gov/teenpregnancy/about/birth-rates-chart-200...
- irq-1 11y agoThe 2007-2013 numbers for 'All' show about 40% drop, but: it's a longer period (than 2009-2013), and there's a very sharp decline between 2007 and 2009, which would make the national numbers worse when compared to the same period.
- KirinDave 11y agoIt's almost like having fewer women present in a 50mi radius that can get pregnant reduces local pregnancy chance...