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If Japan owes debt in its own currency, can it just print money to pay off the debt? If Greece can't devalue its currency this way, is its situation materially
by jbapple 11y ago
If Japan owes debt in its own currency, can it just print money to pay off the debt? If Greece can't devalue its currency this way, is its situation materially different by even just this fact alone?
- cperciva 11y agoIf Japan owes debt in its own currency, can it just print money to pay off the debt? That's effectively what Japan is doing, by having its central bank loan money at 0.1%.
- jbapple 11y ago>That's effectively what Japan is doing, by having its central bank loan money at 0.1%. Does that make it more conceivable that Japan will eventually pay down its debt?
- cperciva 11y agoYes. Economists often refer to "explicit" sovereign defaults (where the debts don't get paid back) and "implicit" defaults (where the debts get wiped out by a policy of deliberate inflation or devaluing of the currency). Greece's inability to effect an implicit default is why they've ended up with an explicit default. In the case of Japan, since most of their debt is held by residents, it's even a stretch to call this an implicit default; a better characterization would be "wealth tax effected by inflation". Either way, if the Japanese government could maintain a balanced budget, their central bank policy of flooding the market with Yen would eventually allow them to pay off the existing debts.
- ucho 11y agoJapan is now in a trap - they want to go from deflation to moderate inflation to boost economic growth but won't be able to handle the dept if cost of borrowing money raises. Also their demographics situation is one of the worst in the world - if they don't repay the debts now how will they do it when number of people in production age drops.