3 ms·

And when have emotional appeals ever let anyone down? :-) Sounds like a valuable opportunity to practice Bayesian reasoning. One thing I like to do in situatio

And when have emotional appeals ever let anyone down? :-) Sounds like a valuable opportunity to practice Bayesian reasoning. One thing I like to do in situations like this is see if I can figure out any data that contradict my emotional response, so I can build a data-driven case that makes what seems to be emotionally right as implausible as possible. If you're a Bayesian, you've got to go with what is most plausible according to the data. Your emotions are data about you, which may be really relevant in some cases, but probably not in the case of international trade...

escherplex 11y ago
'Fuzzy logic' may be a better fit since individual subjectivity isn't always that amenable to quantification. There you can wind up with results that look stochastic and range from 0 to 1 but technically are the just numeric values assigned to value judgments. You probably know the text book example where the 18YO who views 40 as 'old' assigns 29 a value of .73 if what has been defined as 'young' is < 26. Something else to play with...