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The idea that HFT is front running any more than a human market maker is a fallacy. What HFT does, is to properly price the liquidity in the market. Previously,
by vegabook 11y ago
The idea that HFT is front running any more than a human market maker is a fallacy. What HFT does, is to properly price the liquidity in the market. Previously, large institutional or more likely hedge fund orders would be priced very tightly, because it was in the market maker's interest to know the direction of the flow. By "winning" the trade he/she would have an information advantage on the subsequent likely move in the market (a good assumption here is that flow directions are auto-correlated, with a higher autocorrelation to important customers, which is why this makes economic sense). Armed with this information, said market maker would then pre-position against some of the slower "less in the know" flows who are inevitably triggered by price action, with such price action of course influenced by the market maker himself who can "dribble" out the big position at his leisure. He is "armed" with a position that he can move the market with. Such pre-positioning was profitable as smaller investors reacted to price action and sold. It was basically a game of "I pay for your directional information through tight bid offer for the privileged few".
HFT says the following. If you start selling, then I will move the price downwards in accordance to my best guess as to the size of your flow. If I see serial sell orders, I will move the price subsequently lower on the evidence. I am pricing your liquidity correctly. Thus, if you are a huge hedge fund shorting the market, you face higher transaction costs because the liquidity you are demanding of the market is high, and the market maker can no longer offset your liquidity cost against ripping off smaller investors who will be stopped. This latter is the key point. In fact, for smaller investors, HFT means bid offers are much tighter. If you put a small order through the market you are instaneously filled almost at mid, thanks to HFT, whereas in the old days, retail would pay the same bid/offer for his tiny flow as huge hedge fund. The converse is true for buy orders, obviously.
Have you wondered why HFT is most hated by large institutional funds? It's because suddenly they have to pay a fair price for their huge liquidity requirements.
HFT has short-circuited the old game where large influential funds obtained tight bid offer at the expense of smaller players, and were thus able to dominate markets by trading size at unrealistically tight prices. Now we all pay for our liquidity at a fair price. It's actually really democratic (keeping in mind that competition is mega-fierce).
Ultimately, those who accuse HFT of front running are 100% correct. But there is always "statistical" front running (autocorrelation remember), HFT or Human. The difference now with HFT is that the cost of this front running is proportional to the size of your flow, and thus for smaller/retail investors it is neglibeable (because pricing is now much tigher than under the old "human" regime), and therefore positive, but for the spoiled insitutional investors / hedge funds, used to being privileged, it is back to a level playing field. Need to sell a yard? Need to pay for that buddy. Not good for them.
(obviously I am schematizing to a certain degree. Even humans price large orders wider. It's just they didn't price those large orders anything like wide enough. They sponsored the big client for the info advantage thus earned, info advantage wielded against the rest of the market: read smaller, and/or less in the know, investors).
- dllthomas 11y agoI don't follow what you say here - my understanding has it that spreads have grown tighter since computerizing things (and generally that a tighter spread is more efficient).
- vegabook 11y agoThat's my point. For the vast majority of (smaller) flows HFT makes bid/offer tighter. TLDR on the above: HFT makes you pay a fair price for your liquidity requirement. If you're retail, your liquidity requirement is negligeable. If you're big your liquidity price is high. It's fairer. In the old human system big funds' artificially high (cheap) liquidity is sponsored by the small player's artificially expensive liquidity and/or market move against him/her before he/she trades.
- foobarqux 11y agoIt's more complicated than you suggest: If informed trading can't capture a good portion of the difference between the "true" price and the current price then there isn't an incentive to do it.
- deleted 11y ago[deleted]
- mrchicity 11y agoThe spread is tight for small orders, but if you keep hitting them in one direction, market makers quickly get wise to this and start pulling back. The cost to trade for large funds isn't just the bid-offer spread, but also how quickly the market reacts to their flow. Modern market makers are very good at pricing a small spread to uninformed flow while making informed traders pay. This is also why big funds want rules like trade-at (all orders must trade on-exchange) which eliminate the ability for market makers to explicitly segregate order flow. If all retail orders went to exchanges, market makers would give tighter prices on average to win the retail flows. Basically retail traders would subsidize institutional ones.
- 11y ago