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Maybe it should be "a puzzle many people already know the answer to" in which case the conclusion and results are already obviously biased. I was able to solve
by Retra 11y ago
Maybe it should be "a puzzle many people already know the answer to" in which case the conclusion and results are already obviously biased.
I was able to solve the puzzle without testing any numbers at all. Which really skews the relevance of "only nine percent of people saw three 'no's before answering."
- crgt 11y agoYou mean you correctly guessed without testing at all - and got lucky. I'm not sure this is the same thing as 'solving' it.
- Retra 11y agoI "got lucky" in the sense that my experiences have primed me to recognize that particular kind of question. If the article had actually modified the question framing at all, rather than just copying the existing one, it maybe wouldn't have worked that way. It's the same reaction I have to the Monte Hall problem: I don't have to think or be clever to get the right answer. So naturally you couldn't effectively teach me anything by simply posing the question, and any information you collect by doing so won't accurately reflect what I learn or how well I think. You'd just be testing topical familiarity.
- crgt 11y agoThe question could have read the exact same way, with a different final rule as the answer. Without testing at all, you wouldn't/couldn't know that...and so you didn't solve it..you just guessed...
- Retra 11y agoEveryone guessed it. I guessed it and got it right. That's what 'solving it' means.