4 ms·
> A mere 8 percent heard at least three nos I guessed correctly with only 2 nos. Since there is no penalty for guessing incorrectly here, I felt safe enough wi
by qznc 11y ago
> A mere 8 percent heard at least three nos
I guessed correctly with only 2 nos. Since there is no penalty for guessing incorrectly here, I felt safe enough with my theory. I might have checked for more nos, if I had to announce my theory publicly (Twitter, comment, etc). However, I also knew about Confirmation Bias beforehand.
- rockdoe 11y agoI guessed correctly with only one no. You can enter all kinds of crazy random sequences which only have The Rule in common and get a yes, which seemed to be enough assurance. If you're trying to get it to say "no" but failing, is that still confirmation bias? Doesn't sound like it.
- reagency 11y agoThat highlights a great point: on this simple decision rule, using random test data will draw the solution more quickly than human cleverness.
- dendriteseeker 11y agoI also guessed correctly with only 2 nos -- my real confirmation came from the fact that "-1, 0, 300000000" (or some number of 0s) was correct, meaning it couldn't be any really meaningful sequence.