Seems to check out with the numbers. 6200 HIV adults and a stable population says something like 3100 are female and with 30 child bearing years and two childr

Seems to check out with the numbers. 6200 HIV adults and a stable population says something like 3100 are female and with 30 child bearing years and two children over that period about 200 of them should give birth each year. A 1% probability of passing along HIV with the retroviral treatment gives 2 HIV babies a year. (I'm actually a little surprised when a news article's math works.)