Really cool. Would be interesting to break some of these things down further, into easier-to-estimate probabilities -- probably using some sort of more detaile

Really cool. Would be interesting to break some of these things down further, into easier-to-estimate probabilities -- probably using some sort of more detailed graphical model. Seeing some sort of consensus view of the future according to your users would be neat, too (especially if it were broken down by demographic). The interface is a little quirky. I sometimes found it difficult to determine how to set means / deviations.