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Non-paradox, since each non-black object that is not a raven will infinitesimally increase your belief in the proposition, until you find a counterexample or ex
by icky 19y ago
Non-paradox, since each non-black object that is not a raven will infinitesimally increase your belief in the proposition, until you find a counterexample or exhaust the set of all non-black objects.
The reaseon that finding a black raven is more important is because the set of ravens is much smaller than the set of non-black objects, so it increases your certainty more.
The green apple does indeed offer the same infinitesimal evidence that all ravens are pink, but by going through the set of non-pink objects in the universe and eventually finding a raven, the proposition will be disproven.
So part of the "paradox" here is a conflation of "evidence" and "proof". The other part of the paradox lies in the fact that the evidence gained by seeing one green apple is SO tiny that it won't even register on the human brain's "is this evidence?" heuristic.
- zoltz 19y ago"The green apple does indeed offer the same infinitesimal evidence that all ravens are pink, but by going through the set of non-pink objects in the universe and eventually finding a raven, the proposition will be disproven." I had residual doubts about these pink ravens, but that's a great way to put it. Now I really feel "on top" of the paradox.