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My point was that Atlas/Delta have had a lot of time to get their bugs found and fixed, while the F9 has had 20 launches overall. It seems reasonable to me to e
by lutorm 11y ago
My point was that Atlas/Delta have had a lot of time to get their bugs found and fixed, while the F9 has had 20 launches overall. It seems reasonable to me to expect that the reliability of F9 will rise with time as more bugs are found and fixed. So if you wanted to launch something today, you would reasonably consider this record to be a reflection of current risk. But I don't think it makes sense to extrapolate and say this will remain constant in the future.
But then again, I am partial.