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I wonder if mountains of government and private debt in both developed nations and emerging markets could be choking out trade and capital expenditures. It als
by bcg1 11y ago
I wonder if mountains of government and private debt in both developed nations and emerging markets could be choking out trade and capital expenditures. It also might not help that central banks around the world are in the midst of competitive devaluation, which is nothing less than a currency war.
Incidentally the "wonder years" of global trade cited in the article are 1950-1973, which is closely aligned with the Bretton Woods agreement that linked all currencies indirectly to gold through the US dollar, effectively eliminating floating exchange rates. Same phenomenon occurred with the classical gold standard after the worldwide demonetization of silver in the 1870's through the start of WWI.
http://www.westga.edu/~rbest/finc4521/section1/powerpoint/chap2.pdf http://www.westga.edu/~rbest/finc4521/section1/powerpoint/ch...
- toomuchtodo 11y agoCould it be though that productivity increases can only take us so far if consumption is (realistically) finite? This quote from near the end of the article is telling, because you can't boost growth forever; there are limits. "Third, the developed world in particular has a productivity problem; it needs productivity enhancements to offset its deteriorating demographics and boost growth."