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That's a good question. Nothing comes to mind, but then things that live up to early promise probably just seem "obvious" in retrospect. Actively tracking the s
by waterlesscloud 11y ago
That's a good question. Nothing comes to mind, but then things that live up to early promise probably just seem "obvious" in retrospect. Actively tracking the status over time might make it easier to remember those cases.
There are some things, like Amazon delivery drones, that are seeming a lot more plausible than they were initially given credit for.
It might be interesting, beyond basic news tracking for these topics to do some sort of "plausibility survey" along the way was well. See how people's opinions shift. Obviously that's a lot more work to do it right, but it could also be a lot more useful in the long run.
- ethbro 11y agoThe successes seem to require the leadership having both incredible competency AND ironclad personal belief that the problem should be solved at almost any cost. These mega-problems are hard. And, even down a road to eventual success, there are likely to be a lot of "we have to lay off the entire team for 6 months because we have no funding" or "everything about this current situation makes exiting and cutting our losses the smarter move" moments. I can't imagine that gets any easier when you're talking about physical artifacts that require a much higher minimum feasible investment to even try.