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Why Scientific American's Predictions from 10 Years Ago Were So Wrong
- anigbrowl 11y agoThis is a surprisingly comprehensive and well-sourced, succinctly written article. Although the headline is a little clickbaity (why? because people are bad at predictions, especially about the future) it provides an excellent long-term perspective on technological development. I wouldn't mind seeing this formalized into its own site, indexing predictions and claims from mainstream scientific publishing and maintaining some sort of 'progress indicators', perhaps connected with prediction markets.