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Likely the evidence for a bubble that would be risky for our economy is the surprisingly large number of recent unicorns, that is, private companies who have a
by graycat 11y ago
Likely the evidence for a bubble
that would be risky for our economy
is the surprisingly large number of
recent
unicorns, that is, private
companies who have a recent funding with a
post money evaluation of
$1 billion or more.
One reason for so many unicorns, that is,
such valuable private companies,
is the reluctance of significant private
companies to do an IPO. Reasons
include (A) having to
try to please Wall Street
that has a very
limited view of real progress
for a company and a very short term focus
and (B) the
overhead of Sarbanes-Oxley.
But I believe that you will find that
a surprisingly large fraction of
the unicorn fundings are
more like traditional private
equity instead of venture capital.
So, for the unicorns,
the high post money
evaluation may be at high risk
(bubble bursting),
but, due to the deal terms,
the last investor is
relatively well protected and
at only low risk.
That high
post money evaluation was just
something out in the ozone anyway,
a long way from that much in
actual cash,
so that, if such high evaluations
suddenly
disappeared, that is, the bubble burst,
then
the effect on the economy would
be minimal.
So, why do these goofy late stage
fundings and unicorns even exist? The
companies may want the cash from
the equity funding and not
want to attempt an IPO, and
the private equity investors
see maybe an upside, if the
bubble doesn't burst first.