3 ms·

"watching the administration of President Xi Jinping crack down hard on internal dissent while challenging the U.S. for leadership in Asia" but that's exactly

"watching the administration of President Xi Jinping crack down hard on internal dissent while challenging the U.S. for leadership in Asia" but that's exactly Xi Jinping's motive. People watching and making their own conclusions as long as its coming from the citizens. To Chinese public, Xi looks like a straightshooter, standing up for justice and vying for the attention of united states. In reality, the outcome is increased internal support for Xi. The foreign policy component is a paper tiger. China has no desire or the capability to enter a military conflict with United States. No other countries can seriously oppose United States in a conventional warfare, even if they all got together and decided to attack it. So China can be contained as long as it rejects democracy and run by a central power. This won't last long however. We are already seeing the CCP is faltering. When you live by the gun you die by the gun. Such is power in a allocated and dictated hierarchy. The challenge for China is to determine at which point do you introduce a democracy. Too soon or too late will both divide the country.

sangnoir 11y ago
Empires rise and fall. The British empire at its zenith was impressive as well and was almost unchallenged. Military supremacy follows economic development. I'm curious how the next 100 years will turn out (I'll experience 60+ of those, if I'm lucky), considering the following: - the shift in American demographics (how long will the slightly right-of-center politics hold? To which side of the spectrum will it shift?) - if China manages to sustain it's growth rate. Superpower status seems guaranteed at this point - how unified will Europe be? what happens to Nato
- tim333 11y ago
  If you believe the 'singularity' stuff, the changes will dwarf those you mention.
  - sangnoir 11y ago
    I do believe in the 'singularity' stuff - but I doubt it will happen within the next 100 years. I don't think as humans we are ready for it yet socially or politically (post-scarcity). We're pretty terrible at distributing resources currently - not because of logistics mind you, but pure self-interest. that's not going to change overnight. If we were to upload our consciousness today, we're going to end up looking more like a balkanized "The Terminator" rather than "The Culture"
- sammydavis 11y ago
  I thought it was certain there will be less right of center people in the us, as the older white conservative/republican generation dies off, and is replaced by more people of color and/or somewhat less conservative kids. To me the open question is will this lead to a more liberal or Canadian like politics, or could the shrinking conservative base blow us up into multiple countries? US northeast and west coast joins canada? Rest, becomes jesus land?

sangnoir 11y ago

Empires rise and fall. The British empire at its zenith was impressive as well and was almost unchallenged. Military supremacy follows economic development. I'm curious how the next 100 years will turn out (I'll experience 60+ of those, if I'm lucky), considering the following: - the shift in American demographics (how long will the slightly right-of-center politics hold? To which side of the spectrum will it shift?) - if China manages to sustain it's growth rate. Superpower status seems guaranteed at this point - how unified will Europe be? what happens to Nato

tim333 11y ago
If you believe the 'singularity' stuff, the changes will dwarf those you mention.
- sangnoir 11y ago
  I do believe in the 'singularity' stuff - but I doubt it will happen within the next 100 years. I don't think as humans we are ready for it yet socially or politically (post-scarcity). We're pretty terrible at distributing resources currently - not because of logistics mind you, but pure self-interest. that's not going to change overnight. If we were to upload our consciousness today, we're going to end up looking more like a balkanized "The Terminator" rather than "The Culture"
sammydavis 11y ago
I thought it was certain there will be less right of center people in the us, as the older white conservative/republican generation dies off, and is replaced by more people of color and/or somewhat less conservative kids. To me the open question is will this lead to a more liberal or Canadian like politics, or could the shrinking conservative base blow us up into multiple countries? US northeast and west coast joins canada? Rest, becomes jesus land?