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> But if you look at a repeat winner who keeps producing wins after you've started watching them, the same argument doesn't apply. I don't follow - would you e
by kansface 11y ago
> But if you look at a repeat winner who keeps producing wins after you've started watching them, the same argument doesn't apply.
I don't follow - would you elaborate?
- nmrm2 11y agoIf X happens to 1 in 100 people, then there's a very high chance (~1) that X happens to 1 of the 100 people, but a much smaller (~1/100) chance that it will happen to person #56, for example. The parent post is saying that "starting to watch someone" constitutes naming the #56.