3 ms·

Overcoming Bias gets the gist right: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/its-news-on-academia-not-climate.html http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/11/its-news

• dejb 17y ago
  From the article > If you don’t like this state of affairs join me in trying to develop a more reliable consensus mechanism on such topics: prediction markets. It would be great if people were rewarded or punished based on the eventual utility and correctness of their statements rather than their immediate appeal. In a sense people are using their reputation as a currency in a prediction market of sorts just by recording their thoughts and opinions publicly. In the future this information should be easy to aggregate. You could imagine a public 'credibility score' much like a credit score. In this current debate it seems there will be substantial loss of reputation for those you nail their colours to the wrong mast.