We do not know the rate at which technology-producing species come about, period. A couple months ago there was a post about how people will come up with a busi

We do not know the rate at which technology-producing species come about, period. A couple months ago there was a post about how people will come up with a business idea and falsely extrapolate how much money they can make by assuming a seemingly tiny fraction of their imagined potential customer base: http://sivers.org/1pct http://sivers.org/1pct This is precisely the same principle. Remember, there is no designer. The universe was not created as a petri dish for technology-producing species. There is no evidence we are not the only one. This article tries to cloak the discussion in "logic", but the data is so horridly poor that any discussion about it will serve only to identify each respondent's personal biases about human nature and etc. Your opinion on this topic is all assumptions and no data.