I've heard it phrased as "We overestimate change in the short run, and underestimate it in the long run" http://www.boingboing.net/2008/01/03/roy-amara-forecas

I've heard it phrased as "We overestimate change in the short run, and underestimate it in the long run" http://www.boingboing.net/2008/01/03/roy-amara-forecaster.html http://www.boingboing.net/2008/01/03/roy-amara-forecaster.ht... E.g. it doesn't take long to go from "OMG online Social networking"? this will change everything! To "eh, my life is still the same". Then year later, you notice how much your social life has been slowly but totally extended and rearranged.