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I'm more interested in starting a business that has a 90% chance of being worth $10M than a business that has a 1% chance of being worth $1B. A business that h
by fsk 11y ago
I'm more interested in starting a business that has a 90% chance of being worth $10M than a business that has a 1% chance of being worth $1B.
A business that has a 90% chance of being worth $10M isn't suitable for VC.
- balls187 11y agoPerhaps I'm missing something, but the expected value is higher on the 1% chance for 1B
- fsk 11y agoAs a founder, you only get to invest in one business at a time, so the high chance of $10M is worth more than the longshot chance of $1B. Even if the latter has higher EV, the former has higher average quality-of-life EV. Working as an employee vs owning a $10M business is a BIG lifestyle jump. From $10M to $1B, not as much.