Point expectation is a good way to think of it, but consider the expected points of a 2pt (or 1pt) play vs the other 50 snaps a qb takes everywhere else on the

Point expectation is a good way to think of it, but consider the expected points of a 2pt (or 1pt) play vs the other 50 snaps a qb takes everywhere else on the field, where the expected points are less than 1. An integer point difference on a single play is huge.