Lets do some basic math to get some clue of the future. I welcome others to provide more detailed analysis to adjust my calculations. The nVidia GTX 970 has 34

Lets do some basic math to get some clue of the future. I welcome others to provide more detailed analysis to adjust my calculations. The nVidia GTX 970 has 3494 GFLOPS[1] of single precision processing power. The strongest currently available Intel integrated GPU (Intel Iris Pro Graphics P6300, GT3e) seems to have around 1000 GFLOPS[2] and is from November 2013. The September 2012 Intel Iris Pro 5200 has 832 GFLOPS[3], and the April 2012 Intel HD Graphics 4000 has 333 GFLOPS[4]. The pace of improvement seems to have slowed down for Intel. Given a generous 25% YoY growth, Intel will have a 3500 GFLOPS integrated GPU somewhere around 2020. There is high demand for mobile performance though, so with additional investments, perhaps a 33% YoY growth for performance-per-watt can be achieved? Then a 3500 GFLOPs integrated GPU could arrive as soon as end of 2018. Even so, if VR is even mildly successful, I can imagine nVidia & AMD pumping out even bigger behemoths than the currently available 6144 GFLOPS[1] nVidia GTX Titan X. These giants will also receive annual performance gains, so the gap between heavily cooled desktop beasts and cool mobile parts will probably remain similar. [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GeForce_900_series#GeForce_900_.289xx.29_series http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GeForce_900_series#GeForce_900_... [2] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_HD_and_Iris_Graphics#Broadwell http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_HD_and_Iris_Graphics#Broa... [3] http://www.anandtech.com/show/6993/intel-iris-pro-5200-graphics-review-core-i74950hq-tested/2 http://www.anandtech.com/show/6993/intel-iris-pro-5200-graph... [4] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_HD_and_Iris_Graphics#Ivy_Bridge http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_HD_and_Iris_Graphics#Ivy_...