4 ms·
While broadly I have to agree with much of what Fred said there, I do have some qualifications. At the end Fred did mention family, etc. Here he was way too w
by graycat 12y ago
While broadly I have to
agree with much of what Fred
said there, I do have some
qualifications.
At the end Fred did mention
family, etc. Here he was way
too weak: A recent phrase is
"The greatest prize life has to
offer", and that's husband and
wife, house and home,
mother and father, with
everyone busy, productive, and, thus,
happy.
"Thus happy"? One of the standard
ways to be unhappy is to be idle,
doing nothing. One of the best ways
to be happy is to be busy and productive.
All that said, I have three points
of qualification:
(1) It can be a bit self-serving
for a venture partner to
tell everyone else, especially
entrepreneurs, that they should
not think too much about valuation.
(2) I have wondered if the recent
late stage equity fundings with
high valuations have a dark side:
Maybe the end of that little
process over time stands on average to
favor the
venture firm: If (A) the
company does not do really well, then
the venture firm still stands to
get their money back via the
term sheet liquidation preferences.
And (B) if the company does do well,
then the high valuation might be
seen as a starting point for negotiations
with the investment bankers on
the offering price of the IPO
or an M&A exit
in which case the venture firm
not only gets their money back
but makes a bundle (big ROI).
(3) As has become more common recently
in the press on startups, now
the way may be clear for
some significant number of
solo entrepreneurs with little
or no equity funding
to create a company worth
$1 billion just from
net present value of
after tax earnings
in which case all the
discussion about equity
funding is next to moot.
The common example is the
Canadian
romantic match making site
Plenty of Fish which was
long just one guy, two
old Dell servers, and
revenue of $10 million a year
just from ads via Google.
So, that's about $10 million
a year pre-tax earnings
and, thus, maybe, a company
worth $1 billion.
I know; I know:
From none other than
John Doerr at KPCB,
"Ideas are easy and worthless.
Execution is everything.".
Hmm ...: Given an idea,
now plug together a development
computer, install a lot of free
infrastructure software,
use some frameworks, etc. to
write the routine software,
write the rest, the
secret sauce, as just
ordinary code,
plug together a server,
plug into an ISP,
get ads from ad servers on-line,
use a content distribution
network (CDN) to handle
much of the Internet traffic,
go live, get some revenue
and earnings,
maybe expand to a local
colocation site or to
the cloud, and grow.
So, where's this
execution that is
not routine!
Or, for such a scenario,
given a good idea, the
rest is routine. Then
the idea and associated
secret sauce are
"everything"
and likely challenging.
Or, for a venture partner to
claim that ideas are worthless
looks like an initial negotiating
position to claim that what the
entrepreneur has before a
term sheet is worthless.
Cute. Silly, insulting,
dysfunctional, but cute.