Apparently not: >We thus designed a brief questionnaire and distributed it to four groups of experts in 2012/2013. The median estimate of respondents was for a

Apparently not: >We thus designed a brief questionnaire and distributed it to four groups of experts in 2012/2013. The median estimate of respondents was for a one in two chance that high-level machine intelligence will be developed around 2040-2050, rising to a nine in ten chance by 2075. Experts expect that systems will move on to superintelligence in less than 30 years thereafter. They estimate the chance is about one in three that this development turns out to be ‘bad’ or ‘extremely bad’ for humanity. http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf The people warning about the future of are pretty familiar with AI. Your accusations that they are all idiots who have no understanding of AI is way off the mark. A number of notable people also signed the future of life institute open letter warning about AI: http://futureoflife.org/misc/open_letter http://futureoflife.org/misc/open_letter