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Hey, for fun let's use this to do a rough math check on Tesla's future plans. The battery is $3500 for 10kWh. Model S with a 270kWh battery is advertised with
by aerovistae 12y ago
Hey, for fun let's use this to do a rough math check on Tesla's future plans.
The battery is $3500 for 10kWh.
Model S with a 270kWh battery is advertised with a range of 240mi.
Model 3 aims for a minimum range of 200mi, or 5/6, a.k.a. 225kWh battery.
225 is 22.5 * 10.
22.5 * $3500 = $78,750.
Model 3 is supposed to be $35,000.
I believe in Elon Musk completely and I want nothing more than to see him succeed and I have been blown away by what Tesla Motors and SpaceX accomplish at every turn.
But even so, I will be amazed again if the Gigafactory can truly make the price point feasible. I really believe they'll do it, I just don't see how.
Can the factory's massive gains in efficiency really change things by such a huge factor in 2 years? (Model 3 targets 2017, doubtful.)
- deleted 12y ago[deleted]
- breser 12y agoYour battery sizes for the cars is way off. The Model S has come with a 60 (no longer available), 70 and 85 kWh battery. The 240 mile vehicle is the newer 70 kWh battery. 70 is 7 * 10. 7 * $3500 = $24,500.
- aerovistae 12y agoYeah I have no idea how I managed to add 200kWh in there. Thanks for pointing that out. Wow.
- vonklaus 12y agoI am not really sure what you are calculating here. That being said I am pretty sure that the model s has a 270mi RANGE, not a 270kWh battery. It has a few options, like 85kWh or 70kWh. It has been published that the model 3 will have a smaller battery, and be a smaller car. Being more efficient at the vehicle level, coupled with cost savings of vertical integration, will allow use of a smaller and cheaper battery.