3 ms·
The 95% confidence interval is 5g - 40g, which seems pretty wide to me. I would like to know at what confidence threshold 0g lies. It seems to me that there is
by zmmmmm 12y ago
The 95% confidence interval is 5g - 40g, which seems pretty wide to me. I would like to know at what confidence threshold 0g lies. It seems to me that there is a good chance this result is just random chance. Am I missing something?
- btilly 12y agoBased on the normal distribution, 0 should be somewhere around 97% confidence. But that becomes suddenly less impressive when you consider the fact that they looked at each month separately. So after looking at 9 numbers, they found 1 that was 1/30. The odds of seeing THAT are over 30%! So yes, this does seem like a chance result to me. As the saying goes, "You torture the data until it confesses."