I honestly think that Apple will be able to reinvigorate iPad sales when they offer some new capability. The iPhone has (almost) always had a compelling reason

I honestly think that Apple will be able to reinvigorate iPad sales when they offer some new capability. The iPhone has (almost) always had a compelling reason to upgrade. My wife's iPad 3 Retina doesn't seem to perform better than my non-retina iPad 2. While I'm itching to replace the iPad (it's getting slow, app crashing, etc.) I'll be moving to a Surface Pro 4 (or 3 if I can't wait that long) or a $200-300 Android tablet depending on how I see my use cases playing out. I really like the idea of a 4-5" Android phone + an i5/i7 surface eliminating the need for a tablet and a desktop. If there was a compelling new iPad coming out, we'd be on the hook for at least 1, and I imagine that many of the 250m iPad users would be ready to upgrade ASAP. Then the question becomes, what would be compelling enough to upgrade? - Possibly size, but probably not. A $600+ iPad in 10-12" would be hard to justify over a Surface. - New sensors? Adding the PrimeSense 3d sensor (maker of the original Kinect, now owned by Apple) would enable a TON of new use cases. - Multitasking? - Ability to run OSX software?