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Preparing for Warfare in Cyberspace
- xnull6guest 12y agoA link to the DoD strategy document: http://cryptome.org/2015/04/dod-cyber-strategy-2015.pdf http://cryptome.org/2015/04/dod-cyber-strategy-2015.pdf Amid sequestration in discretionary defense spending, cyber capabilities have been spared the harsh bulk of cuts and the published strategy amounts to what looks very close to all-in by the USG. The DoD has begun to build career paths for professional cyber soldiers, is extending and reinvesting in training programs, is and will invest further in internet and cyberwarfare simulation, will redouble efforts to acquire technical capabilities including offense from the private sector, have started partnering with Venture Capitalists in Silicon Valley to encourage startup with defensive and offensive technologies and to discourage startups with consumer encryption solutions, is creating collective cyber defense partnerships with allied nations, is expanding information sharing programs both overseas and with US corporations, and will be further refining the technological capabilities to respond to nations suspected of cyber attacks. So many things to say about this. Here's two: One. The US thought that Bush was a fool when he claimed that the US needed to prepare for cyberwarfare. Because people scoffed at cyberwarfare (it's not war, they said, making vague references to the absence of explosions) so the Bush Administration switched to trying to pry support from the public by waving around the goto boogieman - now it was cyberterrorists - Americans are afraid of terrorists right? This didn't pass muster either. The image of hacker at that time was still of neckbearded manchildren renting their parents basements and people didn't feel like computers could hurt them. The Bush Administration pursued cyber capabilities anyway, now switching to the tactic of keeping the discussion out of the spotlight. This proved to be largely successful, as it tends to be. Without widespread coverage only a few fringe outlets and advocacy groups followed the legislation. This, from my short time on Earth, describes my experience of US politics. The US is an international superpower and just as often as not its legislation is about what it needs to do internationally to remain top dog (case in point - TPP). But Americans, by part their own volition, part the determination of a Washington that thinks it knows better about this complicated subject (and may very well) and in part because of sheer magnitude and complexity; the public are not invited to vote on Foreign Policy except in the coarsest of ways. You want out of the Middle East? No president will do that unless the complicated set of international stategic circumstances happen to align with American ideals. This brings me to the second point. That time is now. The US is trying to 'rebalance' away from the Middle East. Not for high minded reasons mind you - and it will invariably maintain a presence. But now is an era where the US is undergoing fundamental transformation. It is shifting from its peacekeeping role in Europe and as a garunteur of energy security by interventionism and neocolonialism in the Middle East. It is moving to invest in the Asia-Pacific and to contain China from becoming a hegemonic power there (this is US grand strategy, both two decades ago by the Wolfowitz Doctrine and this decade by its reassurtion in the Bush Doctrine). New challenges face her: space and hypersonic delivery vehicles for nuclear warheads, air denial around the world by the proliferation of anti-air capabilities (sold by Russia, China), very effective propaganda campaigns on US citizens by foreign states fake blogs and newspapers, decrepit alliances and infrastructure, and having the softest underbelly in new sophisticated levels of cyberwarfare. America's cyberstrategy can only be understood in context of its broad strategy to both contain its competition beneath a level where physical warfare can break out and to prevent balances of powers and alliance systems that could similarly challenge her. The problem for us is that an all-in in cyber is a canary. It means that diplomacy and other forms of coercion, influence and sabotage haven't been enough to address the issue - and it foretells of conflict, at least for the meantime in the information domain.
- Sevrene 12y agoto discourage startups with consumer encryption solutions How does this defend the country against cyber attacks? Surely it just makes it easier. Have I misunderstood you? Also, on a side note, I really dislike how the word cyber is now ingrained in our vocabulary.
- xnull6guest 12y agoThe US exports technology around the world and the US is also wary about domestic threats (they will not admit this). Widespread access to E2E encryption thwarts global surveillance and legitimate law enforcement (imagine insider trading), both inside and outside the country, and weakens America's national power. She feels she needs every advantage right now. Here's one article that mentions E2E encryption: https://foreignpolicy.com/2015/04/23/defense-department-silicon-valley/ https://foreignpolicy.com/2015/04/23/defense-department-sili...
- happyscrappy 12y ago>She feels she needs every advantage right now. There are a lot more advantages that could be taken if necessary, the actual problem is that the US is too powerful and the world needs more balance.
- xnull2guest 12y ago> the actual problem is that the US is too powerful and the world needs more balance Whether or not this is the actual problem, this isn't what the US government thinks and we are analyzing the US governments behavior by examining what she thinks.
- 3pt14159 12y agoICBM delivered nuclear bombs are no longer the primary threat for cities in the west. Kinetic bombs are harder to intercept with lasers or projectiles and suitcase nukes are essentially impossible to stop from entering a port. Yield doesn't truly matter. Even a couple thousand people dying on 9/11 was enough to cause mass despair.
- randomfool 12y agoThe number of flaws in software running critical infrastructure is terrifying- very very little of it was ever designed or implemented with serious threats in mind. If you look at what was done at Natanz then think of what that group could have done against your local power grid, or water supply, or grocery store supply chain, it is scary. As an American, our current wars are all fought in distant lands- out of sight and mostly out of mind. The next generation of warfare will strike home.
- maze-le 12y agoInteresting notion... has anyone at the DOD even considered stricter software-QA standards for critical infrastructure-projects? Or anything regarding ... you know defense -- defense as in defending, not as an euphemism for warfare...
- 616c 12y agoSo, as per usual, an anecdote. In high school, as a budding Middle East geek, I was told to apply to Saint Andrews of Scotland. Ironically, beyond golf, they had a top notch group of counter-terrorism experts in their security studies (the fact that this was what dawned on people when I studied Arabic in HS without question should have been a red flag for Arabic language academia in the West, but I digress). I never went, but they said another guy in my high school years before did. What did he end up doing after studying with these guys? The state of Illinois in the US apparently had a rare Office of Counter-Terrorism (as did NJ, but it was reorganized into their state level DHS) and all he did was analyze the physical security and threat risks around reservoirs and other infrastructure. Primarily reservoirs. If you are worried about the software stack, you are wasting your time. The end game is far easier and just requires jumping a fence.
- mauricemir 12y agoI thought it was CIT that was the top dog for this sort of thing after Shrivenham merged with them. And with the really sensitive CS jobs I suspect the USA will be similar to how the Uk used to be ie all 4 grandparents as native citizens.
- nmj 12y agoJohnson also pushed back on the tech industry’s demand for greater encryption, saying that it hinders the government’s ability to detect criminal activity. The trend toward deeper encryption is an issue that “presents real challenges to those in law enforcement and national security,” Johnson said. “We need your help to find the solution.” Interesting stance to state publicly.
- xnull2guest 12y agoThis has been stated a number of times by officials - it's not considered classified or anything. This is 100% absolutely the policy of Washington and has been since before Clinton.
- anigbrowl 12y agoIt's worth considering that if everyone is using super-hard encryption, IDing actual secret agents from hostile countries becomes orders of magnitude more difficult.
- throwaway9324 12y agoWhat does that even mean? Every encryption system that works is "super-hard". Maybe everyone using SSH is a suspected agent now.
- diyorgasms 12y agoAs unreasonable as that sounds, do you think it is that unlikely? Consider that developers and systems administrators make up only a tiny fraction of all computer users. At the same time, we are the ones most likely to use tools like ssh. Very few run-of-the-mill computer users would have a call to do so. Also consider that developers and systems administrators (and in general the sorts of people who use ssh) are far more likely to have the technical know-how to launch a sophisticated attack. Putting all that together, it would not surprise me if the use of ssh were used as an identifying marker by the United States government to single individuals out for increased surveillance. Grant you, if this happens I think it is absolute bullshit, but I think there is some paranoid bureaucratic logic that leads to this conclusion.
- chubot 12y agoWhich private companies will benefit from new government policies on cyber warfare? What about new companies that need to be created?
- xnull2guest 12y agoFireeye, Cloud (Microsoft, Amazon and Google), Facebook, RSA, CloudFlare, IBM, Intel, chip manufacturers, pentesting companies... lots of new companies... actually the list is quite long...
- fapjacks 12y ago> as well as North Korea’s 2014 attack on Sony Pictures Oh, no...
- xnull2guest 12y agoThe attack on SONY pictures will deter other companies from working with the US government to craft propaganda or other ventures - from the US perspective the SONY attack was pretty horrible.
- pjc50 12y agoHas this been definitively attributed to NK by independent sources, or is this the cyber-Gulf of Tonkin incident?
- xnull2guest 12y agoThis is definitively NK. They did it because the US State and Defense Department were involved with the creation of the interview (this can be seen easily in the email leaks).
- fapjacks 12y agoNo, it is definitively in Sony's email but not definitively North Korea that did the hacking. The US government has zero credibility here, and most of the independent security researchers that are trustworthy think that it was not at all North Korea. That was the purpose of my original comment, because it's "so clearly" not North Korea that perpetrated the attacks on Sony. I have yet to see convincing evidence from a trustworthy source saying otherwise.
- xnull2guest 12y agoDid you read the analysis from Fireeye or Symantec? Their analysis seemed pretty solid to me. The people questioning it asked good questions, but these questions were answered quite well by the forensic reports. Either way, we do know that the State Department and CIA cooked The Interview from the leaked emails. We know from the Guardians of Peace that they are NK sympathizers (be they from NK or elsewhere).
- jballanc 12y ago"Warfare" in cyberspace doesn't worry me as much as "Mutually Assured Destruction" in cyberspace does. With conventional warfare, MAD is relatively straight-forward: pick a large open area on friendly soil, detonate an impressively large weapon, and make sure your enemies know that you have plenty more where that came from. A similar approach works for missile tests and aircraft, armor, and ships in war games. It is relatively easy to convincingly demonstrate the capabilities of traditional weapons without causing any collateral damage (well, except for Castle Bravo). The problem, I think, is how does one convincingly demonstrate cyberwarfare capabilities without causing some amount of real harm. For example: we now know that China has the "great cannon" it can use relatively effectively for DDOS attacks, but only because GitHub suffered...and this is just the beginning of the inevitable arms race.
- BorisMelnik 12y agoAwesome writeup, I crave this type of content. My question to sec enthusiasts and pros: isn't the whole point of security to disclose as little as possible? Security through obscurity? I realize that most of this information is public knowledge and there are all kinds of double agents, but this really seems like a lot of information! It just seems to me as though we have everything wrong. China raises children to be hackers and hires criminals to do their bidding, or subs it out to whoever while you can't even get a government job if you have a DUI?
- diminoten 12y ago> My question to sec enthusiasts and pros: isn't the whole point of security to disclose as little as possible? Security through obscurity? Security through obscurity is considered a bad idea, not a good one.
- ohsnap 12y agoOnly for cryptography. People often mistake the 'security through obscurity' slogan has good for every system.
- philtar 12y agoSecurity through obscurity is good. Security through obscurity only, is bad.
- BorisMelnik 12y agocrazy that I get 2 answers that differ 100% completely, with zero to data to back it up yet my question is the one that gets downvoted, twice.
- diminoten 12y agoYou shouldn't use HN as a place to gain knowledge itself; Google is much more useful for that. HN is best seen as a place to expand one's awareness of knowledge. For example, people here have provided their thoughts on "security through obscurity" -- a clear controversy exists! Your next task would be to Google the phrase, and read the Wikipedia article[1] that comes up. Then, if you still have questions, check out the references the Wikipedia article cites[2][3][4][5], or perhaps visit other results from your Google search[6][7][8]. In other words, Internet social media sites are terrible places to learn -- use the greater web to do actual learning. Use social media sites like HN and Reddit to expand your awareness of ideas. [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Security_through_obscurity [2] http://csrc.nist.gov/publications/nistpubs/800-123/SP800-123.pdf [3] https://www.schneier.com/crypto-gram/archives/2003/0815.html [4] http://tech.slashdot.org/story/01/07/23/2043209/when-security-through-obscurity-isnt-so-bad [5] http://catb.org/jargon/html/S/security-through-obscurity.html [6] http://users.softlab.ntua.gr/~taver/security/secur3.html [7] http://www.pearsonitcertification.com/articles/article.aspx?p=2218577&seqNum=7 [8] https://danielmiessler.com/study/security_and_obscurity/
- nickysielicki 12y agoFrom a linked article in the OP. > He urged the next generation of software pioneers and entrepreneurs to take a break from developing killer apps and consider a tour of service fending off Chinese, Russian and North Korean hackers, even as he acknowledged that the documents leaked by Edward J. Snowden, the former intelligence contractor, “showed there was a difference in view between what we were doing and what people perceived us as doing.” So our 'defense secretary' thinks that being capable of writing ruby on rails apps means that someone knows what a NOP sled is. Fantastic! Screw all of these idiots in suits. I'm not afraid of North Korean hackers. I've not been afraid of Russian hackers throughout the past decade and I'm not afraid of Chinese hackers now. And even if I was, I can assure you, there's nothing at all that the US government could do to alleviate that.
- xnull2guest 12y agoI too am puzzled by what the defense industry thinks Silicon Valley is going to be able to produce, but that's the point of Silicon Valley - huge amount of creative potential and ambition. It's not likely that all of the solutions will be cyberweapons. One of the largest and most impressive responses to cyberwarfare to date are the US's information sharing programs. These programs and formats (STYX, TAXI, etc) enable patterns from detected cyberattacks to be rapidly shared across industries so that exploits and tactics, command and control centers and so forth can't be repeated. This raises the cost to the attackers, aggravates them, and slows them down. Some of these programs have automated components with minimal human interaction in the loop. So I think it is these sorts of solutions the DoD is likely looking for.
- madaxe_again 12y agoThey're confused old men, for the most part. They probably have bizarre notions of people duking it out with e-guns and cyberknives in The CyberVirtualSpace that guy from darpa demo'd in '76. The ones who are more up to speed are after malware, the more cunning the better.
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- higherpurpose 12y agoForget the need for technical capabilities, it's the cyber policy that sucks. They want to "secure the infrastructure against hackers" and then try to promote weaker systems, remove recommendations for encryption from their own guidelines for people, and promote crypto backdoors. That's policy is completely backwards if what they really want is security. But they don't want that. What they want is hackers that can hack foreign states as well as develop malware to infect or spy on everyone. Nothing to do with security. Also, screw NYT for promoting this crap. They've been promoting the cyber-threat sharing legislation as well.
- xnull2guest 12y agoAre you speaking here about international or domestic cyber policy? There's certainly room for improvement in both, but it's starting to look like the international case is doomed not to be led by US initiatives. I think one thing that could be done is a sort of cyber disarmament - countries could declare cyber free hours, then days, then weeks - and they could trade owned networks with one another like they do today with spies as shows of good faith. This would be a starting point for collaboration.