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One can make money in the stock market without any trading at all; Merton Miller often emphasized that prices could adjust to new information without any trades
by nickff 12y ago
One can make money in the stock market without any trading at all; Merton Miller often emphasized that prices could adjust to new information without any trades taking place, if asset holders and potential buyers agreed on the impact of the new information on the asset value. Trades only take place when asset buyers and sellers have differing valuations for the same asset, whether it be for reasons of uncertainty, asymmetric information, or subjective values. You are also assuming that stock trading is like gambling, where the amount of money at the table is not variable over time (except for players coming and going); this is the zero-sum fallacy.
- MichaelCrawford 12y ago"assymetric information". The owner of the hedge fund had a model that was built on decades of CBOT commodities futures prices. His model would buy and sell a basket of about 1000 many times per day. There was some error in his model - at times he would lose money - but over the long run he was able to earn far, far more money than any other fund I've ever heard of.