Eventually, all of the clueless players will learn not to cheat. It may actually take forever to get through the "clueless", slower than new ones are being bor

Eventually, all of the clueless players will learn not to cheat. It may actually take forever to get through the "clueless", slower than new ones are being born. Most people do not act rationally and do not compute probabilities in their head - they simply do what others do and expect to get the outcome in the same ballpark. An infringer will stop infringing if three of the people he knows personally are caught and punished, feeling that this sort of stuff is probably dangerous. That's the only way probability theory figures into normal people's lifes - through numbers. More effective punishment strategy would be to punish someone on TV - a popular character on TV screen tends to be "one of the people I feel close to" so a punishment of such person will have effect. Of course another strategy is to make it convenient to comply - I started buying my music from online stores after all the DRM stuff was taken down. When people put work into making my life better I don't mind paying for that, unless they make it difficult.